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Why SLB Could Be the Smartest Oil Stock to Buy Now
Written by Chris Markoch. Published 10/20/2025.
Key Points
- Infrastructure and onshoring are creating multi-year oil demand tailwinds.
- OPEC+ production growth could drive international revenue expansion.
- SLB’s technology and financial discipline support double-digit earnings growth.
Shares of SLB (NYSE: SLB) are down just over 1% after the oilfield services company reported its third-quarter earnings. The stock is down roughly 14% year-to-date in 2025, broadly tracking the price of crude oil.
The company beat both top- and bottom-line expectations. Revenue was $8.93 billion versus $8.92 billion expected. On the bottom line, SLB reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.69, about 3.95% above the $0.66 consensus.
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Commenting on the results, chief executive officer Olivier Le Peuch said the results met the company's expectations and noted the revenue growth came "despite the backdrop of a fully supplied oil market, an uncertain geopolitical environment and subdued commodity prices."
Oilfield Services Giant Positioned for the Next Upcycle
Despite the muted market reaction, SLB's results reflect cautious optimism. The stock trades at an attractive valuation and pays a dividend yielding about 3.5%, which—combined with its exposure to global energy markets—could make SLB a quiet winner among energy stocks in the next oil cycle.
Crude recently dipped below $60 per barrel, but oil prices often lag underlying demand trends. Several structural factors point to higher demand and stronger pricing ahead. With North American infrastructure investment, onshoring of supply chains, and potential OPEC+ production decisions, SLB may be entering a new growth phase.
North American Energy Demand Could Lift Oil Prices
One reason to expect higher oil prices over time is the surge in U.S. infrastructure and manufacturing investment. Many companies are reshoring industrial supply chains, and the ongoing AI infrastructure buildout is spawning large projects that increase baseline energy demand.
Over time, that demand could tighten supply and support higher oil prices. As one of the world's largest oilfield services providers, SLB stands to benefit from renewed exploration and production (E&P) activity in North America. When oil reaches $80–$90 per barrel, much of SLB's revenue and earnings upside would likely be priced in.
International Growth and OPEC+ Production Are Catalysts
Le Peuch highlighted resilience in international markets, noting robust growth across parts of the Middle East and Asia. That matters because nearly 80% of SLB's revenue comes from international operations, where project cycles are longer and margins can be higher.
The company expects gradual increases in OPEC+ production quotas, which support investments in long-cycle projects such as offshore developments—areas where SLB has strong capabilities.
Technology and Energy Transition Add a Growth Layer
Beyond traditional services, SLB has expanded into digital and transition technologies. Its SLB New Energy division focuses on carbon capture, geothermal, and lithium extraction—areas analysts expect could contribute meaningfully to revenue over the next decade.
SLB's digital platforms, AI tools, and remote operations capabilities are improving client efficiency while generating higher-margin, recurring revenue. The company's $7.75 billion acquisition of ChampionX bolstered its product and service mix and is expected to deliver roughly $400 million in annual pretax cost synergies.
Financial Strength and Valuation Support the Bull Case
Since the last energy downturn, SLB has prioritized free cash flow, balance-sheet improvement, and capital discipline.
With debt down and profitability improving, the company has more flexibility to raise dividends and return capital via share buybacks.
Despite these fundamentals and a better global outlook, SLB trades below its historical valuation multiples and at a discount to industrial peers. The stock currently trades about 59% below the average analyst price target, a gap that persists despite heightened negative sentiment in the last month.
Analysts forecast modest earnings growth of 5.9% over the next 12 months.
However, if oil stabilizes in the $80–$90 range, SLB's earnings could expand at a double-digit pace through 2026, supporting significant upside. The stock currently trades at roughly 9x forward earnings—an attractive valuation if the industry upcycle resumes.
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