(When You Do Them Right)
| Hey, it's Brandon. | Here's something that confuses most traders: taking a bearish trade doesn't make you bearish on the market. | In Ghost Prints, we take bullish and bearish trades because we're not trying to predict the market - we're trying to manage a portfolio. And right now, our bullish trades suck, but that doesn't mean we've gone full bear. | The "Switching Horses" Strategy | I've been trying to get out of an IWM long put vertical spread since October 15th. Finally today we filled at 70%. But I was hoping to get out of IWM on the day I got into Bank of America - I was just switching horses. | IWM's horse could easily be out of gas after running so many miles off the highs. So I found a new horse when I saw 6,000-7,000 put contracts being bought in Bank of America. | When we break away, we create a gamma squeeze to the downside. | Here's what most people don't understand: our delta is now 27. We started at 145 delta. That means we're over 80% hedged with very low delta exposure. | That's not being bearish. That's being systematic. | Why This Works Now | The volatility markets are pricing in two outcomes: we inch our way up to a new high, or we see bigger downside potential. Right now the downside is making the most money because that's where the volatility is occurring. | Look at semiconductors - we're seeing institutional bearish activity in AMD, TSM, TSEM. But that doesn't make me bearish on tech overall. | The Bottom Line | If you have long stock, adding bearish trades doesn't matter. You don't need negative portfolio delta to be smart about risk management. | All I'm suggesting is pairing back bullish exposure. The volatility markets say the down could be big, the up is small. That's what matters in portfolio management. | Does that make sense? | Stay Sharp, | Brandon Chapman | | "The Signal Before The Story" | AMD +389% in 5 days. Tesla +155% in 4. IONQ +74% in a month. | What if you could see the signal BEFORE the headlines? | One TheoTRADE strategist has been quietly using a market signal that puts him 3 days ahead of every major story. | This isn't charts. Not scanners. Not AI. | Something different -- showing where strength forms before it's visible anywhere else. | LIVE REVEAL EVENT Tuesday November 11th @ 2pm EST | We've never shared this publicly. First (and possibly only) time revealed live. | No chasing headlines. Just the signal before the story. | |
|
| |
|
| | | | | Update your email preferences or unsubscribe here © 2025 Disclaimer: Neither TheoTrade or any of its officers, directors, employees, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors is, in such capacities, a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. TheoTrade does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment recommendations. TheoTrade is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does TheoTrade agree to direct your brokerage accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. Nothing contained in our content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, or endorsement of any particular security, other investment product, transaction or investment.Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past Performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. PO Box 24790 Christiansted, Virgin Islands 00824, United States of America | | Terms of Service |
|
|
|
|
|
0 Response to "Bearish Trades Aren't Bearish"
Post a Comment