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Look, |
Let me show you what happened in the markets this week. |
Nasdaq down 3%. Worst week since April. |
AI stocks getting crushed. Oracle down 9%. AMD down 9%. Broadcom down 5%. |
Government shutdown dragging into its second month. No jobs data. No payroll reports. Nothing. |
Consumer sentiment near its lowest level EVER. |
And they're cutting 10% of flights at 40 major airports because air traffic controllers have been working without pay since October. |
Chaos. |
And while all that was happening... |
I was in the Christmas Tree Mastermind. |
Breaking down exactly how to profit from it. |
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Here's what we covered in Week 1: |
90 minutes on SKEW. |
And I know that might sound dry. |
But here's why it matters. |
Skew is the REASON this trade works. |
It's the foundation of everything. |
Here's what skew actually is: |
Puts are way more expensive than calls. |
Not a little more expensive. |
WAY more expensive. |
I pulled up live option chains during the session. |
Showed everyone the actual numbers. |
The 650 puts in SPY were trading at $5.25. |
The 700 calls (same distance out-of-the-money) were trading at $3.09. |
Almost DOUBLE. |
Why? |
Because everyone's terrified the market's gonna crash. |
So they buy puts for "protection." |
Which drives up the price. |
And here's the kicker: |
We sell that inflated premium. |
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But it gets even better. |
The further out-of-the-money you go... |
The MORE inflated the puts become. |
During Week 1, we went 106 days out in the option chain. |
At-the-money options? Trading around 18% implied volatility. |
Way out-of-the-money puts? |
30%. 35%. Even 42% implied volatility. |
Meanwhile, the VIX (which measures "average" market volatility) was only at 20%. |
So here's what that means: |
We're selling 40% risk in an environment where the market is only pricing 20% risk. |
Over time, that edge compounds. |
That's the entire trade. |
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And this week PROVED it. |
Look at the chaos I just described. |
Government shutdown. AI stocks tanking. Consumer sentiment at record lows. |
High skew. High chaos. High fear. |
That's EXACTLY the environment this trade was built for. |
I explained all of this in Week 1. |
Walked through: |
→ Why puts are more expensive than calls → How to read implied volatility in option chains → Why the 1x3x4x5 ratio works (margin efficiency + skew amplification) → Why this trade thrives in chaos |
If you're already in: |
The full replay is waiting for you in the members area. |
Watch it before Week 2. |
If you're not in yet: |
You can still join. |
You'll get the Week 1 replay plus all 4 remaining live sessions. |
Plus 12 months of live trade alerts. |
Plus the private room, unlimited email access, monthly videos, quarterly huddles... all of it. |
Join the Christmas Tree Mastermind |
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Week 2 is Wednesday, November 13th at 8 AM Pacific. |
And we're building the trade. Live. |
I'm walking through: |
→ Strike selection (the 7 critical pieces of criteria) → How to place the trade in SPY and MES → Account setup (Tasty vs. Thinkorswim, portfolio margin, futures approval) → The exact execution process |
If you're already in: |
See you Wednesday. Link is in your members area. |
If you're not: |
This is the last time I'm building this trade live from scratch. |
Week 2 is when you learn HOW to do this yourself. |
Not just follow alerts. |
Actually build it. |
Here's the link if you want in |
-Don |
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