The Real Market Selloff Hasn't Even Started Yet
| | | Don Kaufman here. | Let me explain something that's gonna bother the hell out of you. | This week felt brutal, right? SPX down 22 handles at one point. Nvidia making a two standard deviation move to the downside. Tesla, Meta, Microsoft - all getting smoked outside their expected moves. | Retail traders are struggling. I get it. Some of the darlings that seemed unscathed finally took real hits. | But here's what you need to understand: You haven't even seen selling yet. | The Rotation Game | What happened this week wasn't a selloff. It was rotation on steroids. | Last week, we were selling everything else and buying tech. Amazon and Google literally carried the entire market while every other major sector got decimated. | This week? Complete opposite. We rotated into healthcare, energy - stuff nobody wanted to touch. Meanwhile, tech finally took its turn getting hit. | But that's not real selling. That's just the market playing musical chairs. | Why This Should Terrify You | Real selling means full blown correlation. Nowhere to run, nowhere to hide. Everything goes down together because scared money has no safe haven left. | We're not even close to that yet. | Tech is so market cap weighted right now that when it has any selling pressure, it damages the SPX. But while tech was getting hit this week, everything else was finding bids. | That's not fear. That's opportunity switching. | The Chart That Changes Everything | In the video, I show you one specific chart that should make every trader's blood run cold. It's data from earlier this week that proves we haven't begun to see real selling. | When you see what I'm looking at, you'll understand why I'm saying the real unwind in this marketplace hasn't even begun yet. | What Real Selling Looks Like | Before this is over - if this is the point where we're really gonna start to sell off - there needs to be nowhere to hide. | You have to have indiscriminate sell side activity. You gotta feel like there isn't anywhere to go. | We're absolutely nowhere near that. And that's the most critical aspect of this whole situation. | The Volatility Warning | Here's what's really ugly: the volatility picture isn't just bad right now. It's projecting substantially more risk moving forward. | We just went through a week with $106 of expected movement. Next week? We're already looking at $130. | Put on your big boy pants. We're still in volatility here. | Watch the Full Analysis | In this week's video, I break down: | The specific advanced decline line data that proves real selling hasn't started Why the VIX options market got caught completely off guard My crypto predictions (that just came true) and what's next The bond situation everyone's ignoring Exactly what $130 expected move means for next week
| This is absolutely critical market analysis. Don't get caught thinking you survived the worst when the real test hasn't even begun. | WATCH THE FULL VIDEO HERE | The unwind is coming. The question is whether you'll be ready for it. | To your success, | Don Kaufman | | | "The Signal Before The Story" | AMD +389% in 5 days.
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Tuesday November 11th @ 2pm EST | We've never shared this publicly.
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