You are a free subscriber to Me and the Money Printer. To upgrade to paid and receive the daily Capital Wave Report - which features our Red-Green market signals, subscribe here. The Man Who Mastered The Debt Game and Still Lost His Life Playing ItRome’s greatest debt addict turned financial desperation into imperial domination... reminding us that even owning the extraction machine can’t save you from the people who built it
Welcome Back to Man Versus Central Bank… This is Part III Haiku film reviews are at the end…
Dear Fellow Traveler, After the Man Versus Central Bank piece on the Gracchi brothers, several readers asked the obvious follow-up question...
Sure… He’s exactly who we’re examining today... in Part III (Of X) Julius Caesar… The man didn’t just challenge Rome’s extraction machine. He didn’t reform it like the Gracchi tried to do. He built a better one. For over a decade, his gambit worked perfectly. Caesar turned personal bankruptcy into absolute power, transformed military campaigns into the ancient world’s largest “private equity” operation, and arbitraged political chaos into massive wealth accumulation. But here’s the thing about financial extraction systems... They eventually devour everyone… even the people who perfect them. Yet Another Debt-Fueled Extraction SystemIn his early career, Julius Caesar had massive debts that grew spectacularly... Ancient sources say Caesar was heavily indebted before his political career began… Plutarch wrote that he owed around 1,300 talents (a specific weight of gold, silver, or other metals) by the time he became quaestor in 69 BCE. That’s a staggering sum that, in modern purchasing power terms, might be worth hundreds of millions of dollars. But who knows… Precise calculations and exchange rates between ancient currencies and today’s money are speculative… By 62 BCE, when Caesar held the praetorship, he’d transformed this liability into opportunities to build alliances with very powerful people... You see… Caesar didn’t stumble into debt. He engineered it and weaponized his own insolvency… Caesar understood something that modern private equity firms figured out centuries later. If you owe the bank $1,000, you have a problem. If you owe the bank $1 billion, the bank has a problem. Caesar borrowed gargantuan amounts from Rome’s wealthiest men. His list of patrons included Marcus Crassus, a general considered the richest man in Rome. Caesar used that money to fund public games, bribe voters, and build the political networks he’d need later to consolidate power... The reality was that his creditors couldn’t let him fail. If Caesar went bankrupt, Crassus and the other wealthy Romans would lose their fortunes. So they had to keep funding his political rise. Sound familiar? It’s a popular concept today… both politically and economically… All around the world… (See Vladimir Putin) But Caesar took it further... The Gallic Gold RushWhen Caesar took over the governorship of Gaul in 58 BCE, one could argue he wasn’t seeking military glory. Based on the math on the ground, he launched one of the world’s largest wealth extraction operations in history. His campaign was the Roman equivalent of a leveraged buyout of Gaul. The numbers, while disputed, are staggering… Caesar claimed he enslaved over one million people in Gaul and killed another million during his eight-year campaign (these are Caesar’s numbers, as today’s historians say these numbers are inflated). Regardless of today’s estimates, there’s no doubt the scale was massive. Here’s how the wealth extraction worked... Celtic tribes had been gathering up precious metals for centuries. Caesar looted every major settlement from the Rhine to the Atlantic. While I couldn’t figure out the exact numbers if I tred, there clearly was a ton of gold and silver for the taking… Some modern commentators have estimated these figures at hundreds of tons of gold and silver over the entire campaign… We’re talking about wealth extraction on a scale that would make today’s sovereign wealth funds envious. Now… what made Caesar different from previous Roman generals when it came to all this gold? You get three guesses… but they will all likely say the same thing… Greed? Power? How about something as simple as… He kept most of it. Seriously… Traditional Roman commanders were expected to share provincial wealth with the Senate and the publicani. Caesar bypassed that entire system. Instead, he used all this gold to pay off his personal debts; fund his growing political machine; build loyalty among the troops by paying them directly; and finance projects that enhanced his popularity… When 50 BCE rolled around, Caesar had transformed from Rome’s most indebted politician into one of (if not… its) wealthiest private citizens. He’d reached this without using any of the traditional extraction networks. The Credit Crisis SolutionCaesar’s biggest success wasn’t just military… It was naturally… financial. During the civil war, Rome faced a massive credit crisis. Traditional lending networks collapsed as wealthy Romans hoarded cash and called in debts… think a modern financial-level crisis run on money… Caesar’s response was revolutionary… He pushed through systematic debt relief through legislation that reduced the burden on debtors by approximately 25%. Instead of raising taxes on Roman citizens or taking money from their wealthiest members… Caesar used plundered Gallic gold to absorb the losses. He solved domestic inequality through foreign extraction. As a result, Caesar became the most popular politician in Rome and the most dangerous to the establishment at the same time... Debt Jubilee EconomicsHere’s what many people miss about Caesar’s rise to power... The Roman Republic was facing a systemic debt crisis by 49 BCE. Sound familiar? Traditional credit markets had collapsed. The publicani (tax farmers) were struggling to collect revenues. Wealthy Romans were calling in loans and hoarding precious metals. Small farmers and urban plebs were drowning in debt. Caesar didn’t just cancel debts. He restructured the entire credit system. Ancient sources note that Caesar sponsored legislation (the lex Iulia de pecuniis mutuis) that allowed debtors to provide property in place of cash and used asset valuations set before the civil war to reduce the impact of principal and interest. This would absolutely rattle the elite financial class… Some historians estimate that this reduced the overall credit burden by around 25%. It was not a complete cancellation of all debt… But instead of forcing creditors to absorb the losses, Caesar used Gallic plunder to cushion the restructuring. While the sources describe major plunder, exact flows to debt relief remain uncertain. Caesar solved a deflationary debt spiral by injecting foreign wealth into domestic credit markets. The modern equivalent of this is the Fed's purchase of toxic assets in 2008… But Caesar funded his bailout with plunder instead of money printing (QE). The result? Both debtors and creditors ultimately supported Caesar. Then… the Senate PanickedNow, here’s where the story starts to turn toward its endgame… You know… “Et tu, Brute?” and so forth… By 50 BCE, Caesar had achieved something that hadn’t been done before in Roman history. He’d shifted operations outside the traditional tax-farming networks… Instead of the alternative of working the established Roman extraction channels (an interpretation based on Caesar’s extraction of provincial wealth). In Rome, the extracted “wealth” came primarily from various sources. You had provincial tax farming contracts. You had urban real estate speculation. You had grain import monopolies. And you had an interest in loans to struggling farmers… That was where the elite succeeded. But Caesar’s wealth came from foreign (and direct) military conquest. It came from slave trading on an industrial scale. It came from raw commodity extraction (gold, silver, and timber). And it came from the personal loyalty of professional soldiers… [Editor’s Joke: Maybe Caesar’s real wealth was the friends he made along the way?] His shift outside the traditional channels challenged the old elite’s central role in wealth extraction. And while Caesar did not entirely unwind the conventional system, the reforms that followed operated alongside, and sometimes through, established institutions. A lot of people believe that when the Senate ordered Caesar to disband his armies and return to Rome, they were doing it to “Defend Democracy.” But what if we follow the money? What if we look directly at the situation and suggest that they wanted to shut down a competitor who had built a better extraction machine? Caesar’s response was predictable… “Alea iacta est” or “The die is cast.” The civil war that followed wasn’t just a historian’s tale about liberty versus tyranny. Follow the money, and it’s about two competing business models. March 15, 44 BCE… “I Choose… Business… Ethics…”So what goes wrong? Everything… All of it… Caesar forgot that extraction machines require the consent of the people who operate them. By 44 BCE, Caesar had consolidated power to the point where the traditional Roman elite were now employees in his system rather than partners. The Senate had become marginalized. The publicani had been bypassed in many provinces. The old aristocratic families had lost their central role in wealth extraction. Caesar’s wealth came from Gaul, not from partnerships with Roman financiers. His power came from armies, not from alliances with established families. His legitimacy came from popular support, not from Senate approval. He had built a more efficient extraction machine… but lost the people who operated the old one. According to Plutarch (Life of Caesar), about 60 senators took part in the plot against Caesar.
Viewed in these terms, the assassination reads less like a philosophical stand for the Republic and more like a takeover by the shareholders of the extraction business. On the Ides of March, they solved their “redundancy” problem with 23 stab wounds. And everyone else (the wealthy families) was trying to focus on self-preservation… What the Smart Money Actually DidWhile Caesar was conquering Gaul and the conspirators were planning murder, what were the wealthy Roman families doing? That’s what really matters… They were hedging their bets. The families that not only survived the end of the Republic but also prospered under the Empire followed a completely different playbook… Those rules remain the same… Geographic Diversification They spread holdings across multiple provinces. This included Egyptian grain estates, Spanish silver mines, Gallic timber operations, and Italian vineyards. Political upheaval in Rome didn’t affect their wheat exports to Alexandria. Institutional Flexibility They supported Caesar when he was winning and mourned him when he died. Then they just pivoted to supporting Mark Antony, then Octavian, and then Augustus. Ideology is expensive. Adaptability is profitable. You wonder why hedge fund managers are now extending Olive Branches in New York City to Mayor Mamdani? Because they’ll play every angle necessary… Because money talks… Infrastructure Over Politics Instead of fighting for political control, they bought into systems that would outlast any particular ruler. This included trade routes, urban real estate, manufacturing facilities, and agricultural estates. Think about the stuff that will outlast the next five leaders of a country… Creditor Positions Rather than borrowing to fund political ambitions (as Caesar did) or hoarding cash (as the conspirators did), they lent to many different parties and collected interest regardless of who won. The Aemilii, Cornelii, and Caecilii families that dominated Roman finance before the civil wars were still dominating it 50 years later under Augustus. They didn’t try to become the extraction machines… They just owned profitable pieces of it. Today’s Caesar MomentWe’re living through the same transition right now. The traditional financial extraction system built around banks, insurance companies, and government bonds is being challenged by newer models. Just like Caesar’s Gallic gold bypassed Roman tax farmers, today’s crypto networks bypass traditional banking. That’s why the traditional banks are trying to take them over… Just like Caesar used debt relief to build popular support, today’s central banks use quantitative easing to inflate away debt burdens. Ordinary people get crushed in the process, while the people next to the “money printer” get access to new cash first… Just like Caesar faced a conspiracy from displaced elites, today’s tech monopolies face regulatory pushback from traditional financial institutions. Once again, you’ll recall that instead of killing off their rivals, they just engaged in character assassination. JPMorgan and BlackRock leaders trashed Bitcoin as a terrible investment… until they could get their hands on the ecosystem and now run the largest extraction vehicles in the world, collecting fees on these very assets. The question isn’t whether this transition will continue… It’s who will control the extraction machine when the dust settles. That’s what real power is… What Should You Do?The lesson from Caesar isn’t to avoid building wealth… It’s important to remember that even the most successful operators will eventually become targets. So, let me remind you… Own Infrastructure, Not Personalities Caesar’s mistake was making himself the system. The smart Roman families owned pieces of systems that outlasted individual rulers. Own real estate, commodity producers, and essential services… not the companies or politicians that happen to control them temporarily. Diversify Across Extraction Models Please don’t put all your wealth into any single system, no matter how successful it appears. The families who survived owned Roman tax farms, Egyptian grain estates, Spanish mines, AND Gallic timber operations. Be the Creditor, Not the Borrower Caesar’s debt-fueled rise was brilliant until it made him dependent on continued expansion. Own dividend-paying stocks, rental properties, and royalty streams. Let other people borrow to fund their ambitions. Stay Below the Conspiracy Threshold Caesar made himself the most visible man in Rome. That made him the biggest target. Real wealth preservation happens quietly, through structures that don’t threaten existing power networks. Position for System Survival The transition from Republic to Empire created enormous opportunities for those who understood what was happening. Today’s shift from traditional finance to digital extraction will create similar opportunities… but only for those positioned correctly. The Roman extraction system not only survived Caesar’s death but also became more efficient under Augustus and remained in operation for another 400 years. Today’s extraction systems will follow the same pattern. Individual operators will rise and fall. But the machine will continue to evolve and grow. Your job isn’t to fight the machine or become the machine. It’s about owning profitable parts of the machine, regardless of who’s running it. Caesar tried to become the system and got 23 stab wounds. Smart Roman families just bought shares in the system and got rich for centuries. Which approach sounds better to you? Stay positive, Garrett Baldwin Editor’s Note: As you know, I’m watching a movie I’ve never seen before each night of November and submitting a Haiku-length review of the film for my readers. I forgot to add my review yesterday… but let’s play catch-up… Wednesday: Unforgiven Retirement’s boring… Time to shoot some folks… again The Max: Four Lil Bills! Thursday: Millers Crossing Hats fly, bullets too Danny Boy plays, people die Four-leaf rated film Tonight… North By Northwest About Me and the Money Printer Me and the Money Printer is a daily publication covering the financial markets through three critical equations. We track liquidity (money in the financial system), momentum (where money is moving in the system), and insider buying (where Smart Money at companies is moving their money). Combining these elements with a deep understanding of central banking and how the global system works has allowed us to navigate financial cycles and boost our probability of success as investors and traders. This insight is based on roughly 17 years of intensive academic work at four universities, extensive collaboration with market experts, and the joy of trial and error in research. You can take a free look at our worldview and thesis right here. Disclaimer Nothing in this email should be considered personalized financial advice. While we may answer your general customer questions, we are not licensed under securities laws to guide your investment situation. Do not consider any communication between you and Florida Republic employees as financial advice. The communication in this letter is for information and educational purposes unless otherwise strictly worded as a recommendation. 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