Back on June 30th, I posted an article here about using alternative data to predict future outbreaks of COVID-19...
| | | | | | Second Wave of COVID-19 Slowing Global Recovery… The US is Next | | |  |
Back on June 30th, I posted an article here about using alternative data to predict future outbreaks of COVID-19, suggesting that Google searches for "loss of smell" or "anosmia" predate a spike in cases by a few weeks.
While at the time Europe was faring relatively well at beating back coronavirus outbreaks compared to the US, I did notice an uptick in those smell-related searches in a few particular regions of Spain.
That trend prompted me to write that "we should see the beginnings of a new outbreak from Madrid through the provinces of La Rioja and Basque Country over the next 2-4 weeks," which worked out to somewhere between July 15th to August 1st.
Turns out, that prediction was as spot-on as any I have ever made.
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