New Highs for Chipotle Stock

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Chuck's Trade of the Day

July 26th, 2021

New Highs for Chipotle Stock

Dear Reader,

On Friday, we looked at a Daily Price Chart of MSCI, Inc. noting the stock is making a series of higher highs and higher lows.

For today’s Trade of the Day we will be looking at a Daily Price chart for Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. stock symbol: CMG.

Before breaking down CMG’s daily price chart let’s first review which products and services are offered by the company.

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates Chipotle Mexican Grill restaurants. As of December 31, 2020, it owned and operated 2,724 Chipotle restaurants in the United States, 40 international Chipotle restaurants, and 4 non-Chipotle restaurants. 

Now, let’s begin to break down the Daily Price chart for CMG. Below is a Daily Price Chart with the price line displayed by an OHLC bar.

Buy CMG Stock

The Daily Price chart above shows that CMG stock has been hitting new 52-Week Highs regularly since late July.

Simply put, a stock does not just continually hit a series of new 52-Week Highs unless it is in a very strong bullish trend.

The Hughes Optioneering team looks for stocks that are making a series of 52-Week Highs as this is a good indicator that the stock is in a powerful uptrend.

You see, after a stock makes a series of two or more 52-Week Highs, the stock typically continues its price uptrend and should be purchased.

Our initial price target for CMG stock is 1,920.50 per share.

Profit if CMG is Up, Down or Flat

Now, since CMG is currently making a series of new 52-Week Highs and will likely rally from here, let’s use the Hughes Optioneering calculator to look at the potential returns for a CMG call option spread.

The Call Option Spread Calculator will calculate the profit/loss potential for a call option spread based on the price change of the underlying stock/ETF at option expiration in this example from a 7.5% increase to a 7.5% decrease in CMG stock at option expiration.

The goal of this example is to demonstrate the ‘built in’ profit potential for option spreads and the ability of spreads to profit if the underlying stock is up, down or flat at option expiration. Out of fairness to our paid option service subscribers we don’t list the option strike prices used in the profit/loss calculation.

The prices and returns represented below were calculated based on the current stock and option pricing for CMG on 7/23/2021 before commissions.

Built in Profit Potential

For this option spread, the calculator analysis below reveals the cost of the spread is $320 (circled). The maximum risk for an option spread is the cost of the spread.

The analysis reveals that if CMG stock is flat or up at all at expiration the spread will realize a 56.3% return (circled).

And if CMG stock decreases 7.5% at option expiration, the option spread would make a 56.3% return (circled).

Due to option pricing characteristics, this option spread has a ‘built in’ 56.3% profit potential when the trade was initiated.

Option spread trades can result in a higher percentage of winning trades compared to a directional option trade if you can profit when the underlying stock/ETF is up, down or flat.

A higher percentage of winning trades can give you the discipline needed to become a successful trader.

The Hughes Optioneering Team is here to help you identify winning trades just like this one.

Interested in accessing the Optioneering Calculators? Join one of Chuck's Trading Services for unlimited access! The Optioneering Team has option calculators for six different option strategies that allow you to calculate the profit potential for an option trade before you take the trade.

Become a Member Today!

Do you want to start receiving hand-picked trades from 10-Time Trading Champion, Chuck Hughes?

As a Trade of the Day subscriber, Chuck is offering you a special discount on his Weekly Option Alert Trading Service.

Just call Brad at 1-866-661-5664 or 1-310-647-5664 to join and use the code "Optioneering VIP" to receive special pricing!

 

Wishing You the Best in Investing Success,

Chuck Huges Signature

Chuck Hughes

Editor, Trade of the Day

Have any questions? Email us at dailytrade@chuckstod.com

 

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