Strengthening 'Buy' Signal for ED

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Chuck's Trade of the Day

March 28th, 2022

Strengthening ‘Buy’ Signal for ED

Dear Reader,

On Friday, we looked at a Daily Price Chart of American Financial Group Inc., noting that the stock’s 24/52 Day MACD is trading above the 18-Day EMA.

For today’s Trade of the Day e-letter we will be looking at a monthly chart for Consolidated Edison, Inc. stock symbol: ED.

Before breaking down ED’s monthly chart let’s first review what products and services the company offers.

Consolidated Edison, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the regulated electric, gas, and steam delivery businesses in the United States. It offers electric services to approximately 3.5 million customers in New York City and Westchester County; gas to approximately 1.1 million customers in Manhattan, the Bronx, parts of Queens, and Westchester County; and steam to approximately 1,555 customers in parts of Manhattan.  

Now, let’s begin to break down the monthly chart for ED stock.

Below is a 10-Month Simple Moving Average chart for Consolidated Edison, Inc.

Buy ED Stock

As the chart shows, in July, 2021, the ED 1-Month Price, crossed above the 10-Month simple moving average (SMA).

This crossover indicated the buying pressure for ED stock exceeded the selling pressure. For this kind of crossover to occur, a stock has to be in a strong bullish uptrend.

Now, as you can see, the 1-Month Price is still above the 10-Month SMA. That means the bullish trend is still in play! 

As long as the 1-Month price remains above the 10-Month SMA, the stock is more likely to keep trading at new highs and should be purchased.

Our initial price target for ED is 100.00 per share.

90.7% Profit Potential for ED Option

Now, since ED’s 1-Month Price is trading above the 10-Month SMA this means the stock’s bullish rally will likely continue. Let’s use the Hughes Optioneering calculator to look at the potential returns for an ED call option purchase.

The Call Option Calculator will calculate the profit/loss potential for a call option trade based on the price change of the underlying stock/ETF at option expiration in this example from a flat ED price to a 12.5% increase.

The Optioneering Team uses the 1% Rule to select an option strike price with a higher percentage of winning trades. In the following ED option example, we used the 1% Rule to select the ED option strike price but out of fairness to our paid option service subscribers we don’t list the strike price used in the profit/loss calculation.

Trade with Higher Accuracy

When you use the 1% Rule to select an ED in-the-money option strike price, ED stock only has to increase 1% for the option to breakeven and start profiting! Remember, if you purchase an at-the-money or out-of-the-money call option and the underlying stock closes flat at option expiration it will result in a 100% loss for your option trade! In this example, if ED stock is flat at 92.68 at option expiration, it will only result in a 0.2% loss for the ED option compared to a 100% loss for an at-the-money or out-of-the-money call option.

Using the 1% Rule to select an option strike price can result in a higher percentage of winning trades compared to at-the-money or out-of-the-money call options. This higher accuracy can give you the discipline needed to become a successful option trader and can help avoid 100% losses when trading options.

The goal of this example is to demonstrate the powerful profit potential available from trading options compared to stocks.

The prices and returns represented below were calculated based on the current stock and option pricing for ED on 3/25/2022 before commissions.

When you purchase a call option, there is no limit on the profit potential of the call if the underlying stock continues to move up in price.

For this specific call option, the calculator analysis below reveals if ED stock increases 5.0% at option expiration to 97.31 (circled), the call option would make 45.2% before commission.

If ED stock increases 10.0% at option expiration to 101.95 (circled), the call option would make 90.7% before commission and outperform the stock return more than 9 to 1.

The leverage provided by call options allows you to maximize potential returns on bullish stocks.

The Hughes Optioneering Team is here to help you identify winning trades just like this one.

Interested in accessing the Optioneering Calculators? Join one of Chuck's Trading Services for unlimited access! The Optioneering Team has option calculators for six different option strategies that allow you to calculate the profit potential for an option trade before you take the trade.

Get Chuck's Trades Sent to You!

Do you want to start receiving hand-picked trades from 10-Time Trading Champion, Chuck Hughes?

As a Trade of the Day subscriber, Chuck is offering you a special discount on his Weekly Option Alert Trading Service.

Just call Brad at 1-866-661-5664 or 1-310-647-5664 to join and use the code "Optioneering VIP" to receive special pricing!

Click the button below to schedule a call! 

                           

 

Wishing You the Best in Investing Success,

Chuck Huges Signature

Chuck Hughes

Editor, Trade of the Day

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