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Over the last few days, a Russian intelligence group targeted the e-mail accounts of Microsoft employees, including its top executives starting in November. While the attack didn’t impact operations, it still shows a bad vulnerability that needs to be addressed.
While bad news for Microsoft, it may be great news for cyber security stocks, like Palo Alto (PANW) – which just hit a new high above $350.
As noted by CNBC, JPMorgan added that the breach “could drive greater levels of caution with regard to relying too heavily on Microsoft for security.” The analysts said that cybersecurity software vendors that “compete with Microsoft in their core markets will benefit,” including Palo Alto Networks.
In addition, the US SEC’s new disclosure rules – which can be found here – could be another strong catalyst for cybersecurity stocks, like PANW.
As also noted by CNBC, “Corporations are required to share more information with investors about cybersecurity breaches and what’s being done to address them. Increased cyber spending in the sector — and subsequent demand for Palo Alto’s offerings — could occur as companies take an even more cautious approach to protect their data and systems.”
N is a measure of market volatility. It is the average daily range of the last fifteen days. To arrive at this figure, first determine each day’s true daily range (high to low, plus gaps), then add up all these values for the last fifteen days, and divide this sum by fifteen. N is used for three different functions. First and most importantly is to tell us how many contracts will make up one ‘unit’ in any different market. Secondly, N is used to establish a protective absolute hard stop loss point. And finally, N is used subjectively to determine where to add contracts and to estimate the time extent of trading ranges.
Using N to determine the number of contracts is done by first determining what 1% of your bankroll is. If your trading account is $100,000, then we know 1% represents $1,000. Next, convert N (the fifteen day range) into a dollar amount by multiplying the range times the tick value size for the market. For example, in Soybeans if the average fifteen day range is 10 cents, multiply this by the point value ($30 per cent) and you will find that a 1 N move in Soybeans thus is worth $500.
Now divide the N dollar amount into 1% of your equity in order to determine the number of contracts you can trade. In the above example, $1,000 / $500 = 2 contracts (10 bushels at CBT). If the market was less volatile and the N was only 5 cents in Beans, then a 1 N move would be worth $230, and you could trade four contracts (per unit) in a $100,000 account.
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The first profit opportunity is a stock purchase in GHM, or Graham Corporation. GHM designs and builds vacuum and heat transfer equipment for process industries and energy markets worldwide.
The monthly chart shows that GHM closed above the monthly moving average line every month since October 2022. If the stock price is above the moving average line, the trend is up.
The daily chart shows that GHM has been forming a pattern of higher highs and higher lows since the May low. The bullish pattern points to a further advance.
We recommend buying GHM stock at the current price level. The GHM dividend yield is 3.27%.
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