how will the market react
| | | | | | | | | | | | JEFFRY TURNMIRE’S MORNING MONSTER
PPI Numbers Out
Giant POP on CPI numbers yesterday morning. Nice big volatile moves on the “no change” rate decision and reducing cuts to maybe 1 in 2024. Meanwhile, PPI numbers are out today, how are markets reacting?
Plus — stocks are popping and dropping so come find out what today’s high-conviction trade ideas are!
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P.S. Click here to subscribe to Jeffry’s YouTube channel completely FREE — and you’ll never miss another episode of Morning Monster again. | | | | |
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| | | | TURNMIRE TRADING NEWS MINUTE
Rate Cuts Aren’t Bullish
On yesterday’s Morning Monster show, Jeffry Turnmire delivered a critical analysis of the current interest rate situation and its implications for the economy and the markets.
His message was clear: be careful what you wish for.
“When the Fed cuts rates, that means there’s problems in the economy. They don’t cut rates because everything’s good. They cut rates because there’s problems in the economy.”
Jeffry emphasized that rate cuts by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are not inherently bullish. Instead, they often signal underlying problems in the economy.
His perspective challenges the mainstream narrative that rate cuts are always beneficial for market performance.
Jeffry continued on, explaining the timeline and effects of rate cuts means that their impact typically takes about 24 months to fully materialize in the economy.
This delayed effect means that right now, the economy is only feeling the full effect of the interest rate raises in the red circle below.
All of the rate raises inside the pale yellow box still have to trickle their way into the economy even though some were implemented back in mid-to-late 2022.
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Jeffry referenced the period from June 2006 when rates finally hit a high. 24 months later in June 2008 was when the country started to feel the effects of the Great Financial Crisis.
Jeffry went on to stress that the current environment is particularly challenging for business leaders who have only known a zero-interest-rate policy.
"There's a whole generation of CEOs that have never known anything but zero interest rates and now that's why the stress is so difficult right now with the rates climbing up."
It really makes you wonder how the economy might falter under business leaders who have never had experience operating in an interest rate environment higher than zero.
Jeffry’s insights into the delayed effects of rate cuts, historical precedents, and the challenges faced by modern business leaders provide valuable context for investors navigating today's volatile markets.
As always, his advice is clear: stay informed and proceed with caution.
— The Jeffry Turnmire Trading Team
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| | | | TURNMIRE’S TOP TRADERS
The VIP Family Gathers
Did you feel it?
A special group of insiders were traveling from far and wide yesterday to gather at the semi-annual Turnmire Trading Labs VIP Event taking place today and tomorrow.
It’s a group of Jeffry’s top all-access members who trade together and support each other like no group we’ve seen before.
The screenshot below has a lot of things going on… people announcing travel delays, others looking for rides, others looking to meet up… some worried that they might miss the welcome dinner.
And others, like David offering up support to some members who have shared the loss of a loved one.
It shows how close this group is and how strongly they support each other.
David said it best, “I feel blessed to have this VIP family.”
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— The Jeffry Turnmire Trading Team
Disclaimer: All trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results and you should never risk more than you are willing to lose.
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JEFFRY TURNMIRE’S MORNING MONSTER
PPI Numbers Out
Giant POP on CPI numbers yesterday morning. Nice big volatile moves on the “no change” rate decision and reducing cuts to maybe 1 in 2024. Meanwhile, PPI numbers are out today, how are markets reacting?
Plus — stocks are popping and dropping so come find out what today’s high-conviction trade ideas are!
P.S. Click here to subscribe to Jeffry’s YouTube channel completely FREE — and you’ll never miss another episode of Morning Monster again. TURNMIRE TRADING NEWS MINUTE
Rate Cuts Aren’t Bullish
On yesterday’s Morning Monster show, Jeffry Turnmire delivered a critical analysis of the current interest rate situation and its implications for the economy and the markets.
His message was clear: be careful what you wish for.
“When the Fed cuts rates, that means there’s problems in the economy. They don’t cut rates because everything’s good. They cut rates because there’s problems in the economy.”
Jeffry emphasized that rate cuts by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are not inherently bullish. Instead, they often signal underlying problems in the economy.
His perspective challenges the mainstream narrative that rate cuts are always beneficial for market performance.
Jeffry continued on, explaining the timeline and effects of rate cuts means that their impact typically takes about 24 months to fully materialize in the economy.
This delayed effect means that right now, the economy is only feeling the full effect of the interest rate raises in the red circle below.
All of the rate raises inside the pale yellow box still have to trickle their way into the economy even though some were implemented back in mid-to-late 2022.
Jeffry referenced the period from June 2006 when rates finally hit a high. 24 months later in June 2008 was when the country started to feel the effects of the Great Financial Crisis.
Jeffry went on to stress that the current environment is particularly challenging for business leaders who have only known a zero-interest-rate policy.
"There's a whole generation of CEOs that have never known anything but zero interest rates and now that's why the stress is so difficult right now with the rates climbing up."
It really makes you wonder how the economy might falter under business leaders who have never had experience operating in an interest rate environment higher than zero.
Jeffry’s insights into the delayed effects of rate cuts, historical precedents, and the challenges faced by modern business leaders provide valuable context for investors navigating today's volatile markets.
As always, his advice is clear: stay informed and proceed with caution.
— The Jeffry Turnmire Trading Team
TURNMIRE’S TOP TRADERS
The VIP Family Gathers
Did you feel it?
A special group of insiders were traveling from far and wide yesterday to gather at the semi-annual Turnmire Trading Labs VIP Event taking place today and tomorrow.
It’s a group of Jeffry’s top all-access members who trade together and support each other like no group we’ve seen before.
The screenshot below has a lot of things going on… people announcing travel delays, others looking for rides, others looking to meet up… some worried that they might miss the welcome dinner.
And others, like David offering up support to some members who have shared the loss of a loved one.
It shows how close this group is and how strongly they support each other.
David said it best, “I feel blessed to have this VIP family.”
— The Jeffry Turnmire Trading Team
Disclaimer: All trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results and you should never risk more than you are willing to lose.
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