| | | | | Hey there,
This past week, the S&P 500 pushed to a new high, closing Friday at 5,802.82 — but the tone? Far from explosive.
It was a week that rewarded planning over prediction, patience over action. While the index made modest gains, much of the underlying tape was mixed. Tech lifted the market, but small caps and financials struggled. If you were watching the right levels and using time-tested tools (like Reference Bars and Key Numbers), the moves were there — you just had to be ready.
Let’s recap the key lessons:
🧠 10 Lessons Learned: May 19–23, 2025
1. New Highs Can Still Feel Heavy.
Despite hitting fresh highs, the S&P barely moved on Friday — up just 1.9 points. This wasn’t a breakout… it was a stall at altitude.
2. Tech Carried the Torch.
The big post-earnings surge in NVIDIA helped lift the Nasdaq, while the S&P followed — but only with its top 10 names doing the heavy lifting.
3. Sector Divergence Got Louder.
While the index climbed, small caps (Russell 2000) and financials sold off. Traders sticking with relative strength stayed on the right side of the market.
4. The Opening Bell Gave You Clarity.
The 9:30–10:00am ET window was crucial again this week. Tuesday’s early strength and Thursday’s quick breakdown both lined up cleanly with Reference Bar 3 moves.
5. RB3 Midpoint Told the Story.
On Thursday, the S&P dropped below its RB3 midpoint by mid-morning — and never recovered. When we break below the mid and don’t come back… you know what to do.
6. RB4 Marked the Fade.
Midday on Wednesday, the index rallied into the 12:30 ET bar (RB4) and then backed off hard — another example of how that bar often acts as a pivot for the day.
7. Don’t Trade the Fed — Trade the Reaction.
Multiple Fed speakers gave the usual mixed signals. But the market didn’t care. Traders who focused on price, not opinion, had more clarity.
8. Sloppy Midweek Tape Demanded Precision.
Wednesday’s whip between 5,770 and 5,800 faked out plenty of traders. If you were pressing for a breakout or breakdown — without confirmation — you likely paid for it.
9. Weak Names Stayed Weak.
Energy and financials showed no real buyers all week. Meanwhile, the strongest stocks — mostly mega-cap tech — continued to trend. The lesson? Trade the strong. Short the weak.
10. Discipline > Conviction.
No need to marry any bias this week. Traders who stayed flexible and focused on key time zones and levels had the best shot at walking away green.
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See you Sunday,
—The DTI Team | | | | | |
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