The U.S. central bank will kick off a two-day meeting on Tuesday. Markets will set their risk ahead of the central bank's decision on (likely not to cut) interest rates.
| Good morning: | I'll be live this morning with Tony Rago at 9 am. | As you know… I like to keep it simple. | You don't need a thousand charts. | You don't need to scan every stock. | You don't even need to move your stop. | There's one level… one product… and a repeatable trade that could change your whole approach to the markets. It's fast. It's simple. It's weirdly consistent. | And Tony will join me on Market Masters — live — at 9 AM. | Be there. This might become the only setup you ever watch again. | Meanwhile… I'll be starting the show at 8:45… and here's what we have going… | Previewing the Fed | The Fed brings us an important event this week. Here's the preview: | No Rate Cut Expected: The Fed is likely to keep rates at 4.25%–4.50%, disappointing markets and Trump, who both want cuts. Markets won't only focus on rates though… so keep in mind that there's other information that will influence price direction. Tariff Uncertainty: New tariffs are disrupting the economic outlook, possibly raising inflation and slowing growth. How Powell handles this part of the equation will likely fuel volumes and fund action. Strong Data, But Risks Linger: Jobs and spending remain solid, but business investment is softening. Look for the Fed to claim a small victory in supporting the U.S. labor market (which is part of their dual mandate). Political Pressure vs. Fed Independence: The Fed is under pressure to cut, but Powell is expected to hold the line to preserve credibility. The market may like that - but Powell likely won't be that vocal about it. Markets on Edge: Investors are watching for signs of future cuts later this year if inflation falls or growth weakens. Markets expect three more cuts this year. Tone Matters: Even without action, Powell's comments will signal how close the Fed is to a policy pivot. The more boring… the better…
| Where's Gold Right Now? | We've seen a pop this morning on Gold prices as we press up against the 20-day moving average. If we see a sustained drop under this key level, I'll show you two funds that you can trade right away to take advantage. | If the markets like what Jerome Powell and Company have to say on Wednesday, then gold likely has some additional downside. You need to be there… | Tune In, Tune Up | Finally, momentum remains VERY strong in this market. | The S&P 500 just experienced its best win streak in 20 years… aided by increasing buying pressure and an uptick in global liquidity. Where should we be focusing during Fed Week? | We'll run through the sectors and explore the breakout names for your watch list. | It's all live in 15 minutes. | So, click the link, and I'll see you there. | Stay positive, | Garrett Baldwin |
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