TheoTrade Daily: Time to Reckon with the “Pain Trade”

Monday, May 12, 2025

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What to Do As the Market Brings a "Pain Trade" Moment

by Brandon Chapman, CMT

You hear the term "pain trade" thrown around the financial media sometimes. Here's the Cliff's Notes definition: It's the trade that delivers the most pain to the most investors.

As the market rallies nearly 3%, it's time for us to reckon with our pain trade. What's going to cause the greatest amount of pain to your portfolio? Do you have an idea of market direction or a theme that would hurt your positions the most?

See, it's not hard to imagine quite a few folks out there who were overweight in bearish positions - a lot of bearish exposure - which is understandable given where the market was just 40 hours ago.

But that was then, this is now.

If today's big move higher is upsetting your P/L, are you ready to reverse course and join the very crowded bullish trade today?

It's a much trickier question than headlines might suggest. I'm watching some things in the volatility markets that'll help your decision and give the clarity you need...

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