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Exclusive News Why RTX Stock Is Surging in 2026—and Why It Might Not Be Done YetSubmitted by Thomas Hughes. Article Posted: 1/28/2026. 
Key Takeaways - RTX’s beat-and-raise quarter reinforced confidence in commercial and defense demand across its major segments.
- A $260 billion backlog suggests strong multi-year visibility if execution stays on track.
- Shares could consolidate or retest support before a breakout, with institutional selling a potential headwind.
RTX (NYSE: RTX) stock is trading strongly in early 2026, supported by outperformance and robust capital returns. The defense and aerospace heavyweight may climb further as its 2026 guidance aligns with the ongoing upward trend. Strength in the defense sector held through 2025 and into early 2026, bolstering the view that RTX could continue to outperform expectations in coming quarters. Jeff's offering two different bootcamp tickets: VIP and free. Free is free, but VIP gets you some awesome bonuses. I don't care which ticket you choose. Just so long as you choose soon, because space is limited for both. See how the Pro Trader System works. RTX has benefited from increased defense spending, evidenced by a surge in backlog to over $260 billion — roughly three years of revenue based on 2026 guidance. If the company executes and delivers on those orders, it has a clear path to beat expectations. RTX Improves Market Confidence With Beat-and-Raise Quarter RTX reported a solid quarter on Jan. 27, 2026, underpinned by strong commercial demand and higher government spending. Net revenue was $24.24 billion, up 12.1% year-over-year (YOY) and more than 670 basis points ahead of expectations. Segment performance was led by Pratt & Whitney (+25%), followed by Raytheon (+7%) and Collins Aerospace (+3%). Organic growth was about 14%, partially offset by divestitures meant to improve revenue quality and the margin profile. Margins were pressured and did contract as anticipated, but the impact was less severe than feared. Repositioning efforts, operational improvements, and revenue leverage helped preserve the company's balance sheet and support continued capital returns to shareholders. Importantly, adjusted earnings per share (EPS) beat by the equivalent of 540 basis points, while free cash flow — the money available for buybacks and dividends — improved by triple digits to $3.2 billion. Guidance was constructive; however, revenue and earnings midpoints essentially matched analyst consensus, so the release provided little immediate momentum for the stock. Technically, RTX remains in an uptrend but could trade sideways within a consolidation zone or pull back before making a new high. A retreat to $170–$180 would not necessarily trigger a technical alarm, but a drop below that support range could indicate a deeper correction. The Analyst Response Favors Higher Prices for RTX Stock The initial analyst reaction to RTX's 2026 guidance was broadly positive. Analysts pointed to effective strategy execution, the growing backlog, and momentum that should persist through the year. That commentary aligns with longer-term trends: improving coverage, firmer sentiment, and a rising consensus price target. January updates to the target imply roughly 15% upside from the current level just under $200. 
The key resistance level for traders is the all-time high set in early January, which is acting as near-term resistance and a market pivot point. A decisive move to new highs would signal trend continuation and suggest another $12 to $25 of upside that could materialize quickly. One risk to monitor is institutional activity. Institutions own about 85% of RTX and were net sellers in late 2025, with selling continuing into early 2026. That selling pressure is a headwind for price action. If institutional flows remain bearish, the stock may struggle to advance, gains could be muted, and the risk of corrections would increase.
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