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Exclusive Article Rubrik's Selloff Could Be Cybersecurity's Hidden OpportunitySubmitted by Leo Miller. First Published: 3/17/2026. 
Key Points - Cybersecurity stock Rubrik is down big in 2026, similar to names across the software industry.
- The company's latest earnings were much better than expected, and it looks poised to turn a profitability corner in 2026.
- While AI disruption fears fill the market, Rubrik's importance to its clients fortifies its position.
- Special Report: The Biggest IPO Ever: Claim Your Stake Today
Rubrik (NYSE: RBRK) is a different kind of cybersecurity company, generating impressive growth as customers recognize the value of its differentiated approach. Most cybersecurity firms focus on preventing threats by building firewalls or managing access to information. Rubrik is fundamentally different. Rather than trying to stop every cyberattack, the company's solutions provide value after an attack occurs. Its Preemptive Recovery Engine builds a detailed understanding of clients' data over time so that, following an incident, customers can recover data and resume operations as quickly as possible. The goal is to move recovery time from weeks to days, helping clients minimize the revenue loss a cyberattack creates. In this sense, Rubrik's solutions function like "cybersecurity insurance." You hope not to need them, but if something goes wrong, you'll be glad you have them. In its latest earnings report, Rubrik posted another impressive quarter. Still, the tech stock is down more than 30% in 2026, creating a potential buying opportunity in a unique cybersecurity name. RBRK Smashes Forecasts on Sales and EPS In Q4 of fiscal 2026 (FY2026), Rubrik reported revenue of $378 million, a 46% increase year over year. (The company's fiscal year is offset from the calendar year.) The top-line gain comfortably exceeded expectations of roughly 33%. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $0.04, a marked improvement from a $0.18 loss in the same period a year earlier. Analysts had forecast an $0.11 loss, so the swing into positive adjusted EPS was a surprise. For the full year, adjusted loss per share was $0.01. Rubrik remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, but quarterly GAAP loss per share improved from $0.61 to $0.43. For the full year, GAAP loss per share narrowed substantially from $7.48 to $1.78. Looking ahead to the new fiscal year, Rubrik expects revenue growth of 21%–22%, versus 48% in FY2026. The company also forecasts adjusted profitability for the full year for the first time, with adjusted EPS guidance of $0.07 to $0.27. Both revenue and EPS guidance topped estimates. Rubrik Pushes Back Hard on AI Disruption Risk One of the main reasons for RBRK's decline in 2026 is a broader concern across software stocks: the risk of disruption from artificial intelligence (AI). An analyst asked whether data recovery and resilience could be "meaningfully automated by AI over time," potentially threatening Rubrik's core business. CEO Bipul Sinha responded, "I don't believe that we have any disruption risk at all from AI." That is a strong claim, but there are several reasons Rubrik may be relatively insulated from AI disruption. First, Rubrik serves as the "system of record of last resort around data and identity." When other defenses fail, customers rely on Rubrik to restore order and recover critical systems. That capability helps prevent significant revenue and reputational losses. Clients could attempt to build similar capabilities internally or rely on a new AI provider to handle recovery, but doing so carries serious operational and financial risk. Given what's at stake, skimping on this kind of "cybersecurity insurance" could be a costly mistake. Rubrik also generates revenue based on the amount of data customers choose to protect, not on headcount. That contrasts with seat-based models that charge per user. Because Rubrik's revenue scales with data usage rather than employee count, replacing staff with AI wouldn't necessarily reduce Rubrik's revenue; in fact, broader AI deployments usually require more data protection, which could increase demand for Rubrik's platform. Still, dismissing any AI risk entirely is likely too optimistic. RBRK Could Be Set Up for a Meaningful Recovery After Recent Weakness Rubrik has a mission-critical product, strong growth, and improving profitability. One notable item is stock-based compensation, which totaled $329 million in FY2026. That figure affects reported free cash flow of $238 million, since stock-based pay is a real cost companies must account for. The good news: stock-based compensation fell sharply from $913 million in FY2025. Meanwhile, free cash flow rose more than tenfold from $21.6 million in FY2025. The MarketBeat consensus price target for Rubrik is about $91.50, implying over 70% upside from current levels. Price targets updated after the earnings release average roughly $86, implying north of 60% upside. Overall, Rubrik's business appears well positioned, and the stock looks reasonably attractive following a significant sell-off in 2026. | 
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