July 2nd, 2021 Buying Pressure Sends JCI Higher Dear Reader, Yesterday, we looked at a Monthly Price Chart of Welltower Inc., noting the stock’s 1-Month Price is trading above the 10-Month SMA signaling a ‘Buy’. For today’s Trade of the Day we will be looking at an On Balance Volume chart for Johnson Controls Intl PLC. stock symbol: JCI. Before breaking down JCI’s OBV chart let’s first review which products and services are offered by the company. Johnson Controls International plc operates as a diversified technology and multi industrial company worldwide. It operates through Building Solutions North America, Building Solutions EMEA/LA, Building Solutions Asia Pacific, and Global Products segments. The company designs, sells, installs, and services heating, ventilating, air conditioning, controls, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, and integrated fire detection and suppression systems for commercial, industrial, retail, small business, institutional, and governmental customers; and more. Confirming a Price Uptrend with OBV The JCI daily price chart below shows that JCI is in a price uptrend as the current price is above the price JCI traded at six months ago (circled). The On Balance Volume chart is below the daily chart. On Balance Volume measures volume flow with a single Easy-to-Read Line. Volume flow precedes price movement and helps sustain the price uptrend. When a stock closes up, volume is added to the line. When a stock closes down, volume is subtracted from the line. A cumulative total of these additions and subtractions form the OBV line. On Balance Volume Indicator ● When Close is Up, Volume is Added ● When Close is Down, Volume is Subtracted ● A Cumulative Total of Additions and Subtractions form the OBV Line Volume flow precedes price and is the key to measuring the validity and sustainability of a price trend. We can see from the OBV chart below that the On Balance Volume line for JCI is sloping up. An up-sloping line indicates that the volume is heavier on up days and buying pressure is exceeding selling pressure. Buying pressure must continue to exceed selling pressure in order to sustain a price uptrend. So, On Balance Volume is a simple indicator to use that confirms the price uptrend and its sustainability. The numerical value of the On Balance Volume line is not important. We simply want to see an up-sloping line to confirm a price up trend. Confirmed ‘Buy’ Signal for JCI Since JCI's OBV line is sloping up, the most likely future price movement for JCI is up, making JCI a good candidate for a stock purchase or a call option purchase. Let's use the Hughes Optioneering calculator to look at the potential returns for a JCI call option purchase. The Call Option Calculator will calculate the profit/loss potential for a call option trade based on the price change of the underlying stock/ETF at option expiration in this example from a flat JCI price to a 12.5% increase. The Optioneering Team uses the 1% Rule to select an option strike price with a higher percentage of winning trades. In the following JCI option example, we used the 1% Rule to select the JCI option strike price but out of fairness to our paid option service subscribers we don’t list the strike price used in the profit/loss calculation. |
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