With the conflict broiling in Ukraine, most expected the markets to tank yesterday. But they stayed mostly level, some even closing in the green. So what gives?
I’ve been spot on with my predictions so far, and I think this rally will continue. But in this newsletter, I’ll share the two key dates to watch in March for potential volatility.
This ETF Could SPIKE With Sanctions Against Russia
About a month ago, I predicted this overlooked ETF would spike massively due to the looming conflict in Ukraine and several key domestic factors. Now, that conflict is in full swing, and this ETF is at the perfect price point!
Well, the last week has been wild, even by 2020/21/22 standards.
We knew tensions were bubbling up at the Ukraine/Russia border for weeks, but some folks never thought it would go as far as a full-scale invasion.
And those that did didn’t believe that Ukraine would be able to mount any sort of opposition to the Russian invasion.
Well, as I write this Monday evening, they’re still holding out, and the U.S., EU, and others are starting to get more serious about helping out.
Now, I have a ton of sympathy for Ukraine and the people there, and I’m praying for a quick resolution to this conflict.
But bringing matters a little closer to home, I know a lot of folks were shocked that the markets didn’t tank yesterday.
Has everyone matured and finally gotten over the panic selling that has dominated the market for, oh, 100 plus years?
I don’t think so. But if you’ve been reading my newsletter, I was pretty much spot on with my expectations for this selloff and reversal.
The first day that Russia invaded, the markets cratered, but they hit a key level of support I’d been watching for a while.
And almost as soon as they did, they rallied and closed significantly up both Thursday and Friday.
Now, we don’t have an “all clear” for the markets yet, but I think we have skirmish fatigue.
The market was worried about the uncertainty of it all, and now that things are playing out, a level of certainty about it all is helping guide the market higher.
That’s the good news.
The bad news is, in no way am I saying that something unexpected won’t happen and tank the markets.
A sudden shift in Europe could do it, but I’m eyeing two things closer to home.
On Friday, we’ll get non-farm payrolls for March. This number could be bad, and it could send a shock through the market.
If that doesn’t do it, we’re getting a brand new Fed meeting later in the month (March 15-16) which is expected to bring at least a .25% rate hike, if not higher.
All of this focus on Russia might have numbed some investors to that reality, and it could be a rude awakening come mid-month.
We’ll have to continue to watch everything closely, as traders always do.
But if you’re sitting around fretting about some looming skirmish selloff, I think you can rest easy for the time being.
Jeffry Turnmire and InvestPub do not provide investment advice. Trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Many traders fail and you should not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. If you need personal financial advice, consult a financial advisor.
Daily Profit Publishing and Jeffry Turnmire do not provide investment advice. Trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Many traders fail and you should not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. If you need personal financial advice, consult a financial advisor.
We are not licensed to provide you personalized investment advice. Nothing in these communications should be construed as personal investment or financial advice.
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