New 52-Week Highs for VDE

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Chuck's Trade of the Day

March 9th, 2022

New 52-Week Highs for VDE

Dear Reader,

Yesterday, we looked at a Daily Price Chart of PayPal Holdings, Inc. noting the stock’s 50-Day EMA is trading below the 100-Day EMA signaling a ‘Sell’.

For today’s Trade of the Day we will be looking at a Daily Price chart for the Vanguard Energy ETF, symbol: VDE.

Before breaking down VDE’s daily price chart let’s first review the investment objective of the ETF.

The VDE ETF seeks to track the performance of a benchmark index. The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Index (IMI)/Energy 25/50, an index made up of stocks of large, mid-size, and small U.S. companies within the energy sector, as classified under the Global Industry Classification Standard.

Now, let’s begin to break down the Daily Price chart for VDE. Below is a Daily Price Chart with the price line displayed by an OHLC bar.

Buy the VDE ETF

The Daily Price chart above shows VDE has been hitting new 52-Week Highs regularly since early March.

Simply put, an ETF does not just continually hit a series of new 52-Week Highs unless it is in a very strong bullish trend.

The Hughes Optioneering team looks for ETFs that are making a series of 52-Week Highs as this is a good indicator that the ETF is in a powerful uptrend.

You see, after an ETF makes a series of two or more 52-Week Highs, the ETF typically continues its price uptrend and should be purchased.

Our initial price target for the VDE ETF is 115.00 per share.

90.2% Profit Potential for VDE Option

Now, since the VDE ETF is currently making a series of 52-Week Highs this means the ETF’s bullish rally will likely continue. Let’s use the Hughes Optioneering calculator to look at the potential returns for a VDE call option purchase.

The Call Option Calculator will calculate the profit/loss potential for a call option trade based on the price change of the underlying stock/ETF at option expiration in this example from a flat VDE price to a 12.5% increase.

The Optioneering Team uses the 1% Rule to select an option strike price with a higher percentage of winning trades. In the following VDE option example, we used the 1% Rule to select the VDE option strike price but out of fairness to our paid option service subscribers we don’t list the strike price used in the profit/loss calculation.

Trade with Higher Accuracy

When you use the 1% Rule to select a VDE in-the-money option strike price, VDE only has to increase 1% for the option to breakeven and start profiting! Remember, if you purchase an at-the-money or out-of-the-money call option and the underlying ETF closes flat at option expiration it will result in a 100% loss for your option trade! In this example, if VDE is flat at 106.55 at option expiration, it will only result in a 5.4% loss for the VDE option compared to a 100% loss for an at-the-money or out-of-the-money call option.

Using the 1% Rule to select an option strike price can result in a higher percentage of winning trades compared to at-the-money or out-of-the-money call options. This higher accuracy can give you the discipline needed to become a successful option trader and can help avoid 100% losses when trading options.

The goal of this example is to demonstrate the powerful profit potential available from trading options compared to ETFs.

The prices and returns represented below were calculated based on the current ETF and option pricing for VDE on 3/8/2022 before commissions.

When you purchase a call option, there is no limit on the profit potential of the call if the underlying ETF continues to move up in price.

For this specific call option, the calculator analysis below reveals if VDE increases 5.0% at option expiration to 111.88 (circled), the call option would make 42.4% before commission.

If VDE increases 10.0% at option expiration to 117.21 (circled), the call option would make 90.2% before commission and outperform the ETF return more than 9 to 1.

The leverage provided by call options allows you to maximize potential returns on bullish ETFs.

The Hughes Optioneering Team is here to help you identify winning trades just like this one.

Interested in accessing the Optioneering Calculators? Join one of Chuck's Trading Services for unlimited access! The Optioneering Team has option calculators for six different option strategies that allow you to calculate the profit potential for an option trade before you take the trade.

Get Chuck's Trades Sent to You!

Do you want to start receiving hand-picked trades from 10-Time Trading Champion, Chuck Hughes?

As a Trade of the Day subscriber, Chuck is offering you a special discount on his Weekly Option Alert Trading Service.

Just call Brad at 1-866-661-5664 or 1-310-647-5664 to join and use the code "Optioneering VIP" to receive special pricing!

 

Wishing You the Best in Investing Success,

Chuck Huges Signature

Chuck Hughes

Editor, Trade of the Day

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