| | | | | 5 Things Traders Should Be Watching This Week (June 30–July 4)
As we roll into the first week of July, traders are facing a unique environment shaped by global risk events, shortened U.S. trading hours, and end-of-quarter positioning. Here are 5 key themes we believe deserve your attention heading into the week:
1. July Seasonality Kicks Off
Historically, July is one of the more bullish months for U.S. equities, particularly after a strong June. But remember, that doesn’t mean we go straight up. Many funds rebalance early, creating whipsaw potential in the first few sessions.
👉 Watch how the S&P handles last week’s highs. If the bulls want to keep control, they’ll need to stay above the previous weekly pivot and midpoint.
2. Fallout from the Strike on Iran
Last week's U.S. military action in Iran added a new layer of uncertainty to an already fragile geopolitical backdrop. While oil markets have priced in some of the tension, it’s worth watching closely for any retaliation or response from global powers this week.
👉 Crude oil, gold, and defense stocks (like LMT, NOC) may remain in play for short-term traders.
3. Bonds & Yields in Focus
The 30-year bond (ZB) and the TLT ETF are at key inflection points. With inflation data and rate cut expectations front and center, every tick in bond prices will give us clues about market sentiment.
👉 If TLT continues higher while equities grind sideways, it could be a warning sign that risk appetite is cooling.
4. Watch the VIX Around Holiday Lows
We’re entering a holiday-shortened week, and that typically means lighter volume. But lighter volume doesn’t always mean lower risk. If the VIX holds or rises while equities rally, that’s a divergence you shouldn’t ignore.
👉 Pay attention to any midweek pops in volatility, especially around Tuesday’s economic data.
5. Rotation into Summer Winners
Tech and AI may take a backseat this week. Keep your eyes on areas like utilities, energy, and healthcare—sectors that often shine in the early summer stretch. Look for the High Noon and Two Percent Scans in your RoadMap™ to filter top opportunities.
🚨 TONIGHT at 8pm ET: Sunday Night Planning Session
Tom Busby will lay out the week’s top pivot levels, walk through global market trends, and help you spot “primed stocks” before the opening bell on Monday.
This is your go-to session to kickstart the week right.
Make sure you join us live — or you might miss the breakout move we’ve been preparing for.
👉 Click here to join the 8pm ET Sunday Night Planning Session
Trade smart, trade prepared,
–Team DTI
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