What the Fed Won’t Say, the Charts Already Did

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What the Fed Won't Say, the Charts Already Did
By Blake Young

Let's just call it what it is. We're in stagflation, whether the Fed wants to slap that label on it or not. You can dress it up with language, policy nuance, or market jargon—but when the data speaks, we better listen. The dollar's lost 11% purchasing power since January, and the S&P has barely moved 4%. In a true growth environment, you'd expect equities to rally in response. But that's not happening. Why? Because inflation's running hot and growth just isn't there.

This isn't theoretical. The math is right in front of us. Historically, for every 1% move in the dollar, we see a 2.5% counter move in equities. So an 11% drop in the dollar should mean roughly a 27.5% surge in equity prices—if the market believed we had growth. Instead, we're treading water. That's not a healthy market.

That's stagflation: rising costs with stagnant returns…

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What the Fed Won’t Say, the Charts Already Did

What the Fed Won't Say, the Charts Already Did

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