Why Shorts Create Their Own Nightmare
| | | Hi Folks, it's Brandon. | Shorts are creating their own destruction, and they don't even realize it. | Something just clicked with me that I have to share immediately. | A trader asked why we're seeing such explosive call buying in high short-interest stocks like RGTI and QBTS. | The answer hit me like a freight train: The shorts themselves are buying these calls. | The Hedge That Backfires | Here's what's happening in stocks with 30%+ short interest: | Shorts know they're sitting on powder kegs. They've borrowed shares, sold them, and now they're terrified of unlimited upside risk. So what do they do? | They buy out-of-the-money calls as a hedge. Sell puts to finance it. Classic collar strategy. | But here's the paradox: That call buying creates the exact gamma squeeze that forces their short squeeze. | The Skew Tells the Story | Pull up any high short-interest AI stock. Look at the option chain. You'll see something the textbooks don't teach: | | This is called positive skew. For most stocks, it's the opposite - negative skew pricing in downside crash risk. | But for squeeze candidates? The market is pricing in upside crash risk. | Why This Creates Explosive Moves | When shorts buy calls to hedge, they're not just protecting themselves - they're handing loaded weapons to market makers. | Market maker gets 10,000 call contracts at the ask? They have to hedge by buying stock. Stock goes up. More calls come in-the-money. More hedging required. More stock buying. | It's a positive feedback loop that shorts created to protect themselves. | The irony is beautiful: Shorts trying to limit their upside risk are actually fueling the squeeze that wipes them out. | The Data Doesn't Lie | I pulled up RGTI's three-standard-deviation moves over the past year. Want to guess how many times it exceeded that "statistically impossible" range? | | | | Ten times. | Nine were to the upside. One to the downside. | The market says there's a 0.3% chance of breaking three standard deviations. RGTI broke it 19% of the time - and almost always up. | What This Means Right Now | First: Stop looking at high implied volatility as "expensive" on squeeze candidates. These stocks make frequent outlier moves that option pricing can't capture. | Second: Pay attention to skew. Positive skew (calls more expensive than puts) is your smoking gun for squeeze potential. | Third: The shorts are doing your homework for you. When you see massive call buying in high short-interest names, they're literally telegraphing the direction of crash risk. | The Ultimate Paradox | Shorts hedge their positions to sleep better at night. Instead, they're funding the exact mechanism that creates their nightmare scenario. | Every call they buy to limit upside exposure becomes ammunition for the gamma squeeze that forces their short squeeze. | It's not just ironic - it's systematic. And once you understand this paradox, you'll never look at squeeze setups the same way. | Join me Monday at 2 PM Eastern where I'll show you exactly how to identify these setups in real-time using the Ghost Prints console. | REGISTER FOR MONDAY'S LIVE SESSION | Talk soon, | Brandon Chapman | P.S. I've identified 3 new Ghost Prints showing the same patterns that led to MARA's 59% move (in four days). Sign up and you'll get a free Ghost Print signal, plus I'll show you exactly how I spotted these three opportunities using the console. Real-time setups, not old trades. | | |
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