🚨 Your Midday Notable Earnings Report (Jan 11)

StockEarnings Midday Report
The Most Important Stocks This Earnings Season
Chris Markoch
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The most important stocks this earnings season are the ones that can move entire sectors, shape the AI narrative, and influence index-level performance. Heading into this earnings season Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT), NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA), and Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) all fit that description.

Microsoft enters earnings with accelerating cloud and AI demand, posting 18% year-over-year revenue growth in its latest reported quarter and 26% growth in Microsoft Cloud. The report underscores how critical Azure and Copilot have become to enterprise spending plans.

NVIDIA sits at the center of the AI hardware cycle, with analysts still expecting revenue growth of around 60% in fiscal 2026 after multiple years of sales more than doubling. Those expectations make its guidance pivotal for data center and semiconductor sentiment.

Amazon, meanwhile, bridges consumer, cloud, and digital advertising, with Q4 2025 guidance calling for 10% to 13% revenue growth to roughly between $206 and $213 billion and operating income between $21 and $26 billion. That’s why the company’s report will be a key read-through on both e-commerce health and AI-driven cloud demand.

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Microsoft: AI And Cloud Set The Tone

Microsoft remains one of the most important stocks this earnings season because its results now function as a real-time barometer for AI and cloud spending across the global economy. In its most recent quarter, Microsoft reported revenue of approximately $77.7 billion, a 18% increase year over year, while operating income grew 24%.

This growth was driven by Microsoft Cloud, which reached approximately $49.1 billion, and Azure, which advanced by roughly 40%. Those numbers signal that enterprises are not just experimenting with AI, but scaling deployments on a platform that already throws off substantial free cash flow and enjoys enormous pricing power.

Heading into this earnings season, investors will focus on three things: Azure's growth trajectory, AI-related monetization through Copilot and other services, and any commentary on capacity constraints or capital expenditure plans. Strong guidance here could support a renewed leg higher for quality tech, while any deceleration in AI workloads or cautious tone on enterprise IT budgets might pressure high-multiple software and cloud peers.

For diversified investors, Microsoft's combination of durable growth, scale, and balance-sheet strength keeps it a core name to watch—even if the stock is not conventionally cheap on near-term earnings.

Nvidia: AI Demand In The Spotlight

NVIDIA is arguably the purest public proxy for AI infrastructure demand, which makes it one of the most important stocks this earnings season despite a massive run over the last several years. Recent results showed quarterly revenue nearing 55 billion dollars with year-over-year growth above 50%, and analysts still expect sales to rise around 60% in fiscal 2026, even after consecutive years of revenue doubling.

That pace of growth at a multi-trillion-dollar market cap means any change in guidance—up or down—can reset expectations for semiconductors, data center spending, and AI timelines across the market.

Investors will be laser-focused on three elements: the sustainability of data center demand, gross margin trends, and the company's commentary on next-generation AI accelerators and competitive dynamics. If NVIDIA signals that hyperscalers and large enterprises are still aggressively ordering hardware and that AI demand is broadening beyond early adopters, risk appetite for growth and cyclicals could improve. Conversely, hints of normalization in orders, pricing pressure, or slower growth in fiscal 2027 could trigger profit-taking in AI leaders and pressure richly valued AI-adjacent names.

Amazon: The Most Balanced AI Platform Play

Amazon belongs on any list of the most important stocks this earnings season because it offers investors exposure to cloud, e-commerce, and digital advertising in a single platform. The company's recent Q4 2025 guidance called for revenue of 206–213 billion dollars, implying 10% to 13% year-over-year growth, and operating income of 21–26 billion dollars, both ahead of prior expectations and highlighting improved profitability and operating leverage.

AWS continues to post roughly high-teens revenue growth, and management has outlined plans to roughly double capacity by 2027, with each additional gigawatt potentially adding around 3 billion dollars in revenue as AI workloads ramp.

This earnings season, investors will key in on AWS growth, the trajectory of retail margins, and the pace of advertising expansion, which recently grew about 24% year over year. A constructive update on AI-related demand in AWS—especially as Amazon deploys more capacity—could reinforce the view that it is the most balanced of the "Big Three" cloud providers, combining growth, diversification, and improving free cash flow.

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At the same time, any sign that consumers are pulling back or that cloud optimization is re-accelerating could pressure sentiment not only for Amazon but for the broader consumer and cloud complex.

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Some Final Thoughts on the Most Important Stocks This Earnings Season

In an environment where AI and cloud still drive much of the market's narrative, the most important stocks this earnings season are those that can confirm whether the growth cycle has more room to run. Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Amazon each sit at critical junctions of enterprise IT, AI infrastructure, and consumer demand, and their guidance will help investors calibrate expectations for 2026 and beyond.

For investors, that argues for paying close attention not just to headline beats or misses, but to commentary on AI adoption, capital spending, and margin durability—factors that will likely matter far more to long-term returns than short-term volatility around the print.

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