When NOT to take the trade

Quick question: How many "perfect" setups have reversed on you lately?

Breakouts that looked textbook. Technical entries that felt right. Moves backed by headlines and momentum.

Then... trap.

There's a specific reason this keeps happening, and I broke it all down in Monday's live Squeeze Traps training.

Access the full replay here →

Here's what's driving these traps right now:

Commodities rallying. Precious metals pushing higher. The narrative feels bullish everywhere you look.

But on Monday I showed what the option markets are actually telling us about precious metals — and they're not showing enthusiasm for new highs.

Here's the pattern that matters:

Commodities have a history of rallying strongly just before recessions. Which means the trade that looks rock-solid today — headlines supporting it, technicals confirming it — could trap you tomorrow.

Your entry gets triggered by the narrative. The setup confirms your bias. The move feels real.

Until it reverses.

Watch Monday's replay and you'll learn how to recognize these before entering:

How to spot the difference between real pressure-backed moves and mirages
Why squeeze pressure reveals more than price action ever will
How these traps form specifically in commodity-driven volatility
Live examples: VFC delivered 100% in one day, VZ gave us 94%

Those trades worked because we identified the pressure building before price made it obvious to everyone else.

This isn't another strategy or indicator to add to your arsenal.

It's the most important trading skill today: knowing when NOT to take the trade.

And with commodities moving like this, recession signals flashing, volatility spiking — this is the skill that separates profitable traders from everyone else getting trapped.

Watch Monday's training here →

Once you understand how Squeeze Traps work, you can't unsee them.

You'll see moves differently. You'll wait while others rush in. You'll avoid the traps that catch everyone else.

Watch this tonight. Tomorrow morning when new setups form, you'll know which ones are traps.

Brandon Chapman CMT

P.S. — This one session could keep you out of multiple bad trades this week. Real money that stays in your account instead of vanishing in reversals you didn't see coming.

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When NOT to take the trade

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