A Quick Profit Going Against the Prevailing View

Trading With Larry Benedict
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Managing Editor’s Note: Buckle up… because according to our colleague, tech investing legend Jeff Brown, Elon Musk is about to trigger another massive wave of disruption in the markets.

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A Quick Profit Going Against the Prevailing View

By Larry Benedict, editor, Trading With Larry Benedict

I often tell folks about the importance of being nimble. It’s been a key part of my 40-plus year trading career…

I focus on pulling smaller but regular profits out of the markets. Do that consistently over time, and you’ll be surprised just how big your trading account will grow.

One of the mainstays of nimble trading is to avoid having a predetermined view of the market. As we discussed on Wednesday, you don’t want to let a bullish or bearish view dictate your trades.

Instead, the key is to look for strong trade setups in either direction. Then quickly and clinically take those profits off the table. We saw how that works earlier this week, when my Opportunistic Trader members had the chance to pick up an 18.9% gain in a day.

So today, let’s see how that trade played out…

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An Overdone Down Move

Home improvement giant Home Depot (HD) had a really strong start to the year. Yet it, along with the rest of the market, rolled over and sank as hostilities in the Middle East broke out.

Rising oil prices fuel inflation, which in turn puts pressure on interest rates and consumers' wallets. HD fell heavily, losing 19.5% (peak to trough) in less than two months. Check out the chart…

Home Depot (HD)

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Source: eSignal

(Click here to expand image)

You can gauge the sharpness of that fall by the rate at which the 10-day moving average (MA, red line) crosses below the 50-day MA (blue line).

If we followed the bearish news and let that dictate our actions, we would have missed out on a tidy profit.

See, I look for stocks that have sold off too far, too fast… I aim to profit when they snap back the other way. And that’s what we did here…

As you can see in the bottom part of the chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator, formed a “V” and rallied from oversold territory (lower gray dashed line). That coincided with HD’s low on March 20. Then the RSI formed a higher low (green line) – a bullish signal indicating buying momentum was building.

Quick Up Move, Quick Profit

To capture an anticipated up move, we bought a call option. A call option typically increases in value when the underlying stock rallies.

As you can see, we got our timing spot on… Take another look:

Home Depot (HD)

chart

Source: eSignal

(Click here to expand image)

The next day, HD continued to rally. However, the strength of that move petered out – and this is why being nimble is so important. With our position in good profit, we didn’t want to risk handing back any gains. We exited our position on April 1 by selling our call option.

We bought our HD call option on March 31 for $3.30 per contract (or $330, as an option contract is for 100 shares). Then we sold it the next day for $3.93 (or $393).

That handed us an 18.9% gain in just a day.

Tune in to Trading With Larry Live

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Each week, Market Wizard Larry Benedict goes live to share his thoughts on what’s impacting the markets. Whether you’re a novice or expert trader, you won’t want to miss Larry’s insights and analysis. Even better, it’s free to watch.

Simply visit us on YouTube at 8:30 a.m. ET, Monday through Thursday, to catch the latest.

The Power of Options

We generated this tidy profit using options. Because options use leverage, they magnify profits and losses. That’s how a small move in the stock can lead to a double-digit gain (or more).

Yet you have to get your timing right because options expire. So you run the risk of your option expiring worthless if your anticipated move doesn’t pan out in your time frame. (You can always close your position early if you wish.)

And we didn’t need a longer-term view on HD to succeed with this trade. Instead, we simply took advantage of an overstretched move.

That’s the value of trading this way when markets feel uncertain. You can profit from short-term moves without the need to predict which way the market is headed next.

Happy Trading,

Larry Benedict
Editor, Trading With Larry Benedict

Free Trading Resources

Have you checked out Larry’s free trading resources on his website? It contains a full trading glossary to help kickstart your trading career – at zero cost to you. Just click here to check it out.

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