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Don't be fooled by the headlines… The S&P 500 hit all-time highs last week, but things aren't as bullish as they seem. That's mainly because the S&P 500 is a terrible market barometer. Why? Well... - The S&P 500 only tracks the 500 largest companies in the market, a small pie of the thousands of stocks that trade on American exchanges.
- The index is weighted by market cap. So it has an additional bias towards mega-cap companies like Microsoft, Walmart and Apple.
- Its largest 10 holdings account for over 20% of the S&P 500's value
Meanwhile, the broader market is struggling. In fact, only about 54% of all stocks are currently trading above their 200-day moving average. That's not great. But more troubling is the price action of small-cap stocks. The Russell 2000 is way below its record highs and have been stuck in a sideways channel for the entire year. Check it out: | |
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