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Is Paramount Skydance a Buy Post-Merger, Short Squeeze?
Written by Leo Miller. Published 8/24/2025.
Key Points
- Paramount Skydance got off to a hot start in its first week of trading, with many believing the stock was the subject of a short squeeze.
- David Ellison is the new Chief Executive Officer, with backing from one of the richest people in the world; his father.
- Is it time to buy into the company's ambitious vision?
Since trading under its new name on August 7, shares of Paramount Skydance (NASDAQ: PSKY) have performed impressively—up 15% as of the August 18 close. The merged company aims to reinvent the traditional media giant with a technology-focused strategy.
9 AI Stocks Set to Soar Amid U.S.-China Trade Tensions (Ad)
The escalating U.S.-China trade tensions are reshaping the AI landscape. Companies like Nvidia are facing significant revenue hits with the U.S. imposing new export restrictions on advanced AI chips to China.
This shift opens doors for U.S.-based AI companies poised to fill the gap.
Yet every Wall Street price target tracked by MarketBeat suggests that PSKY shares are already overvalued. Still, the company is making bold moves to reshape the entertainment landscape.
Below, we examine whether Paramount Skydance is a name worth investing in now.
Making the Market's Latest Stock: The Paramount Skydance Merger
On August 7, Paramount Global—the owner of CBS and the Paramount+ streaming service—completed its merger with Skydance Media. Skydance, founded by producer David Ellison, is known for hits like True Grit and Top Gun: Maverick. David Ellison, son of Oracle (NYSE: ORCL) co-founder Larry Ellison, will lead the combined company.
The strategy is to combine Paramount's vast content library with the Ellison family's technological expertise and capital resources to revive growth. In Q2 2025, Paramount's revenue fell more than 12% versus Q2 2022.
Ellison envisions making Paramount Skydance "the world's most technologically capable media company." He plans to leverage artificial intelligence for more efficient content production and unify the company's cloud infrastructure to enhance distribution.
Paramount Skydance Ponies Up for UFC Rights
Adding fresh content is central to the growth plan. Paramount Skydance secured exclusive global rights to broadcast Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) events for the next seven years, paying $1.1 billion annually—double the $550 million per year ESPN previously paid.
Shares dipped about 4% on August 11 after the deal was announced, raising questions about whether the company can recoup that investment. However, the primary goal is to boost Paramount+ subscriber growth by tapping into the UFC's 100 million-strong fan base (TKO Investor Relations).
Exclusive UFC programming could also create leverage for higher subscription pricing over time.
PSKY Spikes on Likely Short Squeeze, Leaving Shares Above Targets
On August 13, PSKY shares jumped as much as 58% intraday—closing up nearly 36%—despite no material company news. A likely short squeeze, driven by retail buying and short-covering, fueled the rally.
With only about 30% of shares available for public trading, PSKY is prone to sharp moves when demand surges against limited supply.
Since then, the stock has settled back to $13.50 as of the August 18 close—still well above MarketBeat's $10.50 consensus price target, which implies 22% downside, and above Guggenheim's most bullish $13 target (3.7% downside).
Valuation Remains Elevated; Q3 Update Is Key
Over the past 12 months, Paramount generated $507 million in free cash flow (FCF) and carries an enterprise value (EV) of about $24.5 billion. That translates to an EV/FCF ratio of 48x, compared with roughly 22x for Walt Disney (NYSE: DIS) and 14x for Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD).
On the surface, PSKY trades at a significant premium to its peers. However, the backing of Larry Ellison—whose net worth approaches $300 billion—adds a unique dimension to the valuation.
Given current multiples and the fact that PSKY is trading above all Wall Street targets, investors may wish to wait. The combined company plans to issue a business update, including a financial outlook, with its Q3 earnings (likely in late October or early November). It seems prudent to review those forecasts before making a move.
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