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Today's editorial pick for you

Gold vs. Bitcoin: Which Safe-Haven Asset Wins in Q4?

Posted on Oct 15, 2025 by Chris Markoch

The run in these alternative assets may have much further to go

It's been another great year to invest in stocks. Even if you're not a stock picker, just being in an index fund like the SPY has generated a nice return of around 13%. That's higher than the index's historical average but slower growth than in 2023 and 2024.

To be fair, that's a return that many investors would be happy with. However, it's worth noting that two asset classes — gold and Bitcoin — have handily outperformed stocks in 2025, up about 50% and 33% respectively.

In addition, gold has also proven to be a valuable asset during times of uncertainty. Many investors have their reasons to dislike both gold and Bitcoin. Others choose one camp over the other, but that may be unnecessary — and costly — in the current climate.

This isn't a doom-and-gloom forecast. Stocks are likely to finish the year strong. However, gold and Bitcoin — which typically move inversely to stocks — are outperforming them this year.

Correlation Doesn't Equal Causation

The bull market in both gold and Bitcoin didn't start in 2025. Both have been moving higher for close to two years, breaking their usual inverse relationship with equities. Their rally isn't a statement about stocks — it's a statement about fiat currency, especially the U.S. dollar, which saw its biggest loss since 1973 this year.

Investors increasingly see gold and Bitcoin as hedges against global debt and uncertainty — a vote of no confidence that the world's books will balance anytime soon.

Why This Move in Gold Is Different

Gold's recent surge isn't being driven by retail investors buying bars at Costco — it's being powered by central banks increasing their holdings. Many governments are questioning the dollar's safe-haven status, and continued central bank buying signals that concern isn't going away anytime soon.

Why Bitcoin May Be Ready for Another Run

Bitcoin has evolved from a fringe asset to one embraced by major institutions. After breaking the $100,000 level in 2024, it quickly moved above $120,000 and recently hit an all-time high above $125,000.

Historically, gold often leads Bitcoin by several months — meaning the precious metal's momentum could foreshadow another leg higher for crypto.

And the Winner Is…?

In absolute terms, gold looks like the winner for Q4. However, there are strong reasons to hold both gold and Bitcoin as long-term diversification tools.

If you value liquidity, Bitcoin offers fast conversion into fiat currencies and growing potential as a payment method. If you prefer stability and lower volatility, gold remains a trusted hedge — accessible via ETFs or mining stocks.

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