♟ This Healthcare Stock Is Down 45% For All The Wrong Reasons

Trade of the Day Logo

View in browser

Person holding a GLP-1 dispenser

"Quality company with solid fundamentals trading at ridiculous levels because of short-term noise. The market's throwing the baby out with the bathwater."

Karim Rahemtulla, Head Fundamental Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

Karim Rahemtulla

Dear Reader,

You know what's funny about trading? Sometimes watching your worst disasters teaches you the most about finding your next big winner.

Three weeks ago, Bryan was taking heavy artillery fire over his Merck position. At our Houston meetup, every single person cornered him: "What are you doing with Merck? Why is Merck down? What do I do with Merck?" I watched him getting hammered from all directions.

He could have folded. Could have said, "You know what, fine, sell it, take the 80% loss." That's what most traders do when a position goes sideways and everyone's breathing down their necks.

But here's what Bryan did instead... He looked at that trade again, and nothing fundamental had changed. All the metrics that made him enter Merck were still there. The fundamentals were solid. The valuation was screaming undervalued. The only thing that had changed was the stock price going down.

So instead of panic-selling like everyone wanted, Bryan bought more time. Rolled the position forward.

And you know what happened? As soon as Nvidia crashed and everyone said the AI trade might be over, risk-off money flowed straight into safe, undervalued healthcare.

In less than a month, Bryan turned this absolute dog loser into a winner. Sold it for a gain.

It's a good reminder about sticking to your methodology when you know the fundamentals are right, even when the market's telling you you're an idiot.

Why I'm Telling You This Story

I'm telling you this because right now, Bryan and I are seeing the exact same setup in another stock. And this time, we're both locked in on it.

Novo Nordisk - ticker NVO - is sitting at five-year lows, down 45% this year while its main competitor, Eli Lilly, is hitting all-time highs and becoming the first trillion-dollar pharmaceutical company.

Two companies in the same exact GLP-1 weight loss space, and one's at all-time highs while the other is getting destroyed.

This is Novo Nordisk we're talking about. Last year, their market cap was bigger than Denmark's entire GDP - $570 billion versus $470 billion. These guys ARE the country. They're not going anywhere.

Everything That Could Go Wrong Did Go Wrong

Novo had the year from hell, and that's exactly why this is such a massive opportunity:

Their Alzheimer's drug got rejected - but that was a hail Mary. Nobody thought taking their GLP-1 drug and applying it to Alzheimer's would work.

They lost a bidding war with Pfizer. But why would Pfizer even be bidding in this space if they didn't think the market was massive?

They fired their CEO and hired a new one.

They're losing market share to Lilly. But the market is so enormous there's room for multiple players. We're talking about $52 billion in 2024 growing to $187 billion by 2032. That's 17% annual growth.

The Numbers Don't Lie

Here's what everyone's missing: Novo's drugs work. Ozempic for diabetes, Wegovy for weight loss - they're incredibly effective.

All this Washington talk about clamping down on GLP-1 costs? Pure noise. Nobody pays those list prices. The pharmacy benefit managers negotiate deals, and Novo's margins aren't changing much. Meanwhile, they just opened these drugs up to Medicare - way more customers.

SPONSORED

Tesla's About to Prove Everyone Wrong... Again

Back in 2018, when Jeff Brown told everyone to buy Tesla…

The "experts" said Elon was finished and Tesla was headed for bankruptcy.

Now they're saying the same thing, but Jeff has uncovered Tesla's next breakthrough.

Click here to see why Tesla's about to prove everyone wrong... again.

Two Ways to Play This

Here's what everyone's missing: Novo's drugs work. Ozempic for diabetes, Wegovy for weight loss - they're incredibly effective.

All this Washington talk about clamping down on GLP-1 costs? Pure noise. Nobody pays those list prices. The pharmacy benefit managers negotiate deals, and Novo's margins aren't changing much.

Meanwhile, they just opened these drugs up to Medicare - way more customers.

The simple play: Just buy the stock. Novo isn't going out of business.

The sophisticated play: I'm setting up a call spread, which, if you're a Catalyst-Cashouts subscriber, you will get the details.

Why This Reminds Me of Bryan's Merck

Quality company with solid fundamentals trading at ridiculous levels because of short-term noise. The market's throwing the baby out with the bathwater.

The GLP-1 space isn't going anywhere. Novo has proven drugs, massive market opportunity, and they're trading like they're about to go bankrupt.

Bryan's Merck rescue proved that when you find situations like this, patience gets rewarded.

Logo

YOUR ACTION PLAN

The stock could go lower before it goes higher. But the trades that feel most uncomfortable - buying while everyone else is selling - those usually pay off the biggest.

Position size appropriately. Don't bet the farm. But when you find a quality company at stupid-cheap levels because of temporary problems? That's when you back up the truck.

Sometimes the worst trades teach you the most about being right when everyone thinks you're crazy.

Merck taught me that lesson. Now let's see if Nova can do the same thing.

If you like ideas like this, then check out Catalyst-Cashouts.


INSIGHTS YOU MAY HAVE MISSED

Article

The Cleanest Squeeze I've Seen in Weeks

Article

Why This Black Friday's "Record" Is Actually a Warning Signal

Article

30-Year Wall Street Vet's Survival Rules

Article

Why I Follow Founders, Not Forecasts (40-Year Track Record)

SPONSORED

Better Than Oil Stocks

Click Here to Play
 

The best way to profit from energy is NOT a stock...

Rather, it's this little-known alternative investment.

CLICK HERE TO FIND OUT MORE

Subscribe to receive free email updates:

0 Response to "♟ This Healthcare Stock Is Down 45% For All The Wrong Reasons"

Post a Comment