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Don here...
Jeff Bierman said something this morning that explains everything you're feeling about this market.
This has been the best market he's ever seen in his entire life. Nothing rattles it. The market isn't made up of fundamentals or people anymore. It's momentum, liquidity, machines, and narrative.
Take a look at it now and appreciate what you're seeing. Because Jeff believes starting in the first quarter of next year, this is going to disappear and go away for a very long time.
He's calling the next four weeks "Time in a Bottle." That reference to capturing fleeting moments before they vanish forever.
Gianni Di Poce joined him for the session. What you get is two completely opposite approaches. Jeff's the contrarian. Gianni's the momentum trader. The one thing they agree on: if you can't manage risk, you have no shot whatsoever in this business.
In today's free session replay with Jeff & Gianni, you'll discover:
- Why Jeff thinks the market stays above 6,500 through year end with zero probability of breaking lower. Not even for five minutes. We're trading sideways while Wall Street executes window dressing. Three consecutive years of double digit returns setting up the pitch to pull in more money before Q1 liquidity reversal.
- What 26% of Americans spending way more than they earn reveals about the economy underneath. That's up from 18% just two years ago. FINRA surveyed 25,500 families. Jeff asks when Main Street finally drags Wall Street down with it. Gianni explains the two-tier economy where the top 10% of households account for 50% of consumption.
- The ISM manufacturing mystery nobody's talking about. Manufacturing shrinking for nine consecutive months while strategists project 4.7% GDP growth. How does that math work? Gianni explains: AI CapEx is literally the only thing growing the economy. Tech companies spending billions on infrastructure. Without that, we'd be shrinking.
- Why inflation changes everything about how debt actually works now. Gianni breaks down why borrowing money at rates lower than inflation means you beat the bank. The people who locked 3% mortgages before rates hit 6% are winning. Black Friday saw 95% of sales financed. Two-thirds not planning to pay within 30 days. This isn't reckless. This is understanding the game.
- The Tesla debate that shows how valuation stops working in tech. Michael Burry called it the greatest short of a lifetime. Gianni sees $670-$700 next year. His argument: you can't cross-compare industries. Tesla encompasses robots, AI, battery storage. It's the futuristic economy. The stock hasn't even hit new all-time highs in 2025 while rotation sets up the move.
Jeff made something brutally clear. In the short term, fundamentals mean nothing. Too much noise. Too many cross currents. Too much liquidity. Social media messing minds up constantly.
Long term they matter. Short term it's technicals and machines.
Gianni's cyclical model shows tech should lead coming out of bottoms. That's what's happening now. Healthcare had its run. Tech rotates back. This is healthy. His Trinity Terminal isolated the healthcare breakout weeks before it happened. Now it's showing tech strength building.
Both instructors expect 2026 to bring serious volatility. Jeff thinks we're at the very top of a liquidity cycle. When the Fed changes approach, when panic micromanaging becomes laissez-faire, the market that nothing could rattle suddenly becomes fragile.
The Time in a Bottle concept hits home. These next four weeks represent something that disappears starting January. The question isn't whether it changes. The question is whether you're positioned for what comes after.
→ Watch Jeff and Gianni explain why these four weeks matter and what the market looks like when time runs out
To your success,
Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE
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