Hundreds of monitors. Nothing but zeros and ones. They're not selling puts for $50 credits. Here's what they're actually doing...
| | | You sold puts for $50 credit the other day. 99% probability of profit showing on your screen. Easy money, right? | Then the market dropped 1%. Your "safe" trade went from $50 credit to -$400 loss in thirty minutes. | Welcome to the efficiency trap, people. | Zero DTE is the most efficient product ever devised by humans. And that should terrify anyone selling options. | Look, I've been on the market making side of this business. I've been on the brokerage side. And I can tell you one thing - there was a day back in 2014 when we hit 44 million messages per second on thinkorswim. | If you speak tech geek, that's just an incomprehensible amount of data pumping through the system. | Here's what that efficiency really means: | When zero DTE options are trading at 10% implied volatility and VIX is sitting at 15, you're essentially selling a 10-VIX environment. Volatility has nowhere to go but up. Everyone celebrates tight spreads without recognizing they're trading in a mathematical pressure cooker. | This efficiency isn't accidental. | Every tick of the stock causes the auto-quote to update quotes in real time across every single option chain. It's absolutely incomprehensibly large amounts of data. It's why only the most liquid products get daily expirations - the bandwidth and server capacity requirements are massive. | But here's the opportunity hidden in that efficiency: | That same mathematical perfection that makes selling dangerous makes buying potentially explosive when you understand expected move dynamics. | You can put 80 cents at risk, wash your hands, walk away from the screen and come back and see how you did in six hours. I love that crap. | You see, when you trade a product like SPX, it's cash settled. So you don't have to worry about getting assigned. Cash gets deposited if you win, and if you're wrong, you lose your premium. | Which is why buying options on 0DTE products makes the most sense. | I know exactly one statistically profitable setup for selling zero DTE options. One. | Everything else puts you in the efficiency trap - collecting pennies in front of a steamroller in the most mathematically perfect risk transfer system ever built. | Market makers at firms like Citadel operate in rooms filled with hundreds of monitors. I've actually been to Ken Griffin's main trading room in Chicago. | It's literally like every single product they make markets in, he has a monitor for each individual product. You walk in there and think you've walked into the matrix - nothing but zeros and ones. | | | | Here's the deal… | Maximum efficiency means minimum forgiveness. | You gotta have an amount of capital that you're comfortable with in every single trade. When you have too much capital at risk, you've already lost psychologically. Period. | The one profitable short setup and exactly when volatility expansion destroys option sellers? | We spent significant time breaking this down in the first Don-DTE mastermind session. | If you missed it, you can still catch up this weekend and join me live for the next session. | We're building a group of traders who understand what's ACTUALLY moving markets. | Click here to join Don-DTE | To your success, | Don Kaufman |
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