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How I’m Targeting Outsized Moves in 3 Different Buckets With Debit Spreads If you’ve been following along lately, then you’ve probably heard me talking about something new I’ve been cooking up called the Lotto Board… As we get ready for Friday’s big 11 a.m. ET reveal — yes, we moved it up a day thanks to all the feedback! — I wanted to take a minute and walk you through exactly how this tool works. Today’s Top Plays and the 3 Buckets When you pull up the dashboard, the first tab automatically populates with today’s top plays. These are the top three picks based on our specific ranking criteria. We organize them into three buckets: the 2x pick, the 3x pick and the lotto pick, which goes for the biggest return while also being the hardest to hit, of course. You’ll see bullish plays by default, but you can flip the toggle to see best setups to the downside. These aren't just random guesses — they’re filtered for the best risk-reward ratios available that day. The Math: Trajectory Versus Market Maker Moves For a stock to make it on the board, we need to see a specific trajectory. We calculate the expected move using the net candles of the stock — looking at the net gain over the last 20 candles from open to close — and average that out to a one-day candle. If the stock maintains this trajectory over the next 36 days, we get a potential move price. We then compare our number to the market maker move. If our trajectory is outpacing what the market makers have priced in, those options are trading for cheaper than usual. That means they’re undervalued, and that’s where we target outsized moves with debit spreads. Why We Use Debit Spreads I love debit spreads for a few reasons. On a stock like Nvidia (NVDA), a basic call might cost $5.00, so $500, while the debit spread is only $1.27. It’s about a quarter of the cost. More importantly, the spread negates time decay. While a basic call decays fast, eating up your capital, the spread offsets that issue and provides much larger returns on smaller moves. If NVDA hits our target, a basic call might be up 0% while our lotto debit spread could be up three times our entry. That of course does not mean that anything is guaranteed, but the risk-reward is just so much better. Momentum Filters and the Search Bar We also use two key momentum filters. We want to see both indicators positive for bullish plays, and both negative for bearish plays. This ensures the stock is moving in our direction in both the medium and short term. We also have some other surprises lined up that I can’t wait to share, but that’s a basic rundown of how it works. We’re doing a special pre-launch event at 11 a.m. ET on Friday and we’d love to have you! It’s also not the end of the world if you can’t make it because we’re rolling out the red carpet at the same time on Saturday! If you want to join Friday’s session, all you have to do is go here! *We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability but no one can guarantee the future. There is always a risk of loss when trading. Past Performance is not indicative of future results. Between 1/8/26 through 2/17/26 the “Lotto Board” trades taken with real money by Graham Lindman have produced a 79.5% win rate, with an average return of 170% and an average winner of 230% over a 9 day hold time on average - and a 19.93 Profit Factor. Graham Lindman Graham Lindman Trading Follow along for real-time analysis, trade ideas, market insights and more in my public Telegram channel! Important Note: No one from the Prosperity team or Graham Lindman Trading will ever contact you directly on Telegram. |
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ABOUT US: We believe that the opportunity for financial literacy and freedom belongs to all people, not just those who already have years of investing experience. Prosperity Pub provides an array of educational services and products that will help you navigate the markets and become a better investor. Trading is made simple through our online forum full of trading techniques to give you the best tools to kick-start your investing journey. We offer collaborative webinars and training; we love to teach. No matter the opportunity, we bring together a strong community of like-minded traders to focus on analyzing market news as it’s presented each day. |
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