The day after Christmas is an interesting holiday in a lot of places, which is intended to be a day to give gifts to the poor but has also become a shopping holiday over in the UK.
Is there anything we won’t turn into a shopping holiday?
But, jokes aside, if you celebrate, I hope you enjoy it.
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On Friday, I made a point of sharing a positive point of view heading into Christmas day.
Well, maybe Jolly Ol’ St. Nick has me in a good mood because I found another upbeat article I thought was important to share.
As always, I’m not fully endorsing what the guy says or guaranteeing it comes true, but it’s interesting to think about.
In short, the article predicts what they call “an inflation bullwhip” after Christmas.
By their logic, this Christmas buying season will be the apex of the supply chain crisis.
As we move on past the holidays, shipping logjams will be broken, and what was not available at all will quickly become available in abundance.
In their words: “Shortages will turn into surpluses, and ‘out of stock’ will become ‘inventory reduction sales.’ The ‘bullwhip effect’ is what happens when demand distortion misinforms the supply chain... and it's about to hit in full force.”
They suggest that this sudden reversal will actually break inflation and begin to heal the markets and the supply chian.
And they think it means lots and lots of major sales in the year ahead.
Now, is this guaranteed to happen? As I’ve already said, of course not.
Even some dovish analysts believe that inflation will be with us for at least a few years.
But it’s certainly a nice thing to think about!
It’d be nice to be able to buy your kids a Playstation or an iPhone 13 without having to fight people in Target for it!
Jeffry Turnmire and InvestPub do not provide investment advice. Trading involves a substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Many traders fail and you should not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. If you need personal financial advice, consult a financial advisor.
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