Profit if AOSL is Up, Flat, or Down

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December 10th, 2021 Profit if AOSL is Up, Flat, or Down Dear Reader, Yesterday, we looked at a Daily Price Chart of Tractor Supply Co. noting the stock has been making a series of higher highs and higher lows since mid-October. For today’s Trade of the Day we will be looking at a Keltner Channel chart for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd. stock symbol: AOSL. Before breaking down AOSL’s daily Keltner Channel chart let’s first review which products and services are offered by the company. Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited designs, develops, and supplies power semiconductor products for computing, consumer electronics, communication, and industrial applications in Hong Kong, China, South Korea, the United States, and internationally. It offers power discrete products, including metal-oxide-semiconductor field-effect transistors, SRFETs, XSFET, electrostatic discharge, protected MOSFETs, high and mid-voltage MOSFETs, and insulated gate bipolar transistors for use in smart phone chargers, battery packs, notebooks, desktop and servers, data centers, base stations, graphics card, game boxes, TVs, AC adapters, power supplies, motor control, power tools, e-vehicles, and more. Now, let’s begin to break down the Keltner Channel chart for AOSL. Below is a Daily Price Chart and the three Keltner Channels for AOSL stock. Buy AOSL Stock The Hughes Optioneering Team uses the Keltner Channels as an indicator to determine whether a stock is overbought or oversold. If a stock’s daily stock price is trading above the upper Keltner Channel, this signals that the stock is temporarily overbought and subject to a retracement. Even stocks that are in the strongest bull trends do not advance in a straight line. There are always price retracements along the way. When a stock becomes overbought, it’s price will typically decline soon after as the inevitable profit taking occurs. The AOSL daily price chart shows that the stock is in a strong price uptrend and has become overbought several times. You can see this as AOSL has traded above the Upper Keltner Channel on multiple occasions recently. But, in every scenario when AOSL became overbought, the stock soon experienced a pullback. Finding opportunities when a stock experiences a pullback is why the Hughes Optioneering Team uses the Keltner Channels. They help us find a lower-risk entry point. The Keltner Channel “Buy Zone” occurs when a stock is trading below the upper Keltner Channel. Once the daily price is trading below the upper channel, it provides a lower-risk buying opportunity as the stock is likely to rally. Our initial price target for AOSL stock is 60.00 per share. Profit if AOSL Is Down 10% Now, since AOSL is currently in the Keltner Channel “Buy Zone” and the stock will likely rally from here, let’s use the Optioneering calculator to look at the potential returns for an AOSL covered call trade. Covered calls are also known as buy writes. The Buy Write Calculator will calculate the profit/loss potential for a covered call trade based on the price change of the underlying stock/ETF at option expiration in this example from a 10% increase to a 10% decrease in AOSL stock at option expiration. The goal of this example is to demonstrate the ‘built in’ profit potential for covered calls and the ability of covered calls to profit if the underlying stock is up, down or flat at option expiration. Out of fairness to our paid option service subscribers we don’t list the option strike price used in the profit/loss calculation. The prices and returns represented below were calculated based on the current stock and option pricing for AOSL on 12/9/2021 before commissions. Built in Profit Potential For this covered call, the calculator analysis below reveals the cost or the breakeven price is $4,305 (circled). The maximum risk for a covered call is the cost of the covered call. The analysis reveals that if AOSL stock is flat at 54.25 at expiration the covered call will realize a $1,120.00 profit and a 26.0% return (circled). If AOSL stock increases at all at option expiration, the covered call will realize a $1,195.00 profit and a 27.8% return. And if AOSL stock decreases 10.0% at option expiration, the covered call will realize a $577.50 profit and a 13.4% return. Due to option pricing characteristics, this covered call has a ‘built in’ 26.0% profit potential when the trade was initiated. Covered call trades can result in a higher percentage of winning trades compared to a directional stock trade if you can profit when the underlying stock/ETF is up, down or flat. A higher percentage of winning trades can give you the discipline needed to become a successful trader. The Optioneering Team is here to help you identify winning trades just like this one. Interested in accessing the Optioneering Calculators? Join one of Chuck's Trading Services for unlimited access! The Optioneering Team has option calculators for six different option strategies that allow you to calculate the profit potential for an option trade before you take the trade. Start Getting Trades from the Champion Do you want to start receiving hand-picked trades from 10-Time Trading Champion, Chuck Hughes? As a Trade of the Day subscriber, Chuck is offering you a special discount on his Weekly Option Alert Trading Service. Just call Brad at 1-866-661-5664 or 1-310-647-5664 to join and use the code "Optioneering VIP" to receive special pricing!   Wishing You the Best in Investing Success, Chuck Hughes Editor, Trade of the Day Have any questions? Email us at dailytrade@chuckstod.com   If you didn't create an account using this email address, please ignore this email or unsubscribe. To ensure delivery of this email to your inbox and to enable images to load in future mailings, please add todaystrade@chuckstod.com to your e-mail address book or safe senders list. © 2021 Tradewins Publishing. All rights reserved. The information provided by the newsletters, trading, training and educational products related to various markets (collectively referred to as the "Services") is not customized or personalized to any particular risk profile or tolerance. Nor is the information published by Legacy Publishing, LLC ("Legacy") a customized or personalized recommendation to buy, sell, hold, or invest in particular financial products. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and is not appropriate for everyone. The actual profit results presented here may vary with the actual profit results presented in other Legacy Publishing LLC publications due to the different strategies and time frames presented in other publications. Trading on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Other than the refund policy detailed elsewhere, Legacy does not make any guarantee or other promise as to any results that may be obtained from using the Services. Legacy disclaims any and all liability for any investment or trading loss sustained by a subscriber. You should trade or invest only 'risk capital' - money you can afford to lose. Trading stocks and stock options involves high risk and you can lose the entire principal amount invested or more. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or trading signals will result in profits or that they will not produce losses. Some profit examples are based on hypothetical or simulated trading. This means the trades are not actual trades and instead are hypothetical trades based on real market prices at the time the recommendation is disseminated. No actual money is invested, nor are any trades executed. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. Also, the hypothetical results do not include the costs of subscriptions, commissions, or other fees. Because the trades underlying these examples have not actually been executed, the results may understate or overstate the impact of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Legacy makes no representations or warranties that any account will or is likely to achieve profits similar to those shown. No representation is being made that you will achieve profits or the same results as any person providing a testimonial. No representation is being made that any person providing a testimonial is likely to continue to experience profitable trading after the date on which the testimonial was provided, and in fact the person providing the testimonial may have subsequently experienced losses. The cost basis for some of the options in a portfolio may be reduced by rolling over profits at option expiration which is one of the Hughes Optioneering Trade Management Rules. Some income figures presented represent the total amount of option premium collected during the referenced period. Actual profits were less. Open trade profit results may have increased or decreased when the trades were closed out. Chuck Hughes' experiences are not typical. Chuck Hughes is an experienced investor and your results will vary depending on risk tolerance, amount of risk capital utilized, size of trading position, willingness to follow the rules and other factors.

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