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| | | Don Kaufman here. | Market hit new records today. S&P, Nasdaq - you know the drill. | But here's what nobody's talking about while they're celebrating: | The market internals absolutely suck right now. | Only 35 advancers versus 67 decliners in the S&P 500. Think about that for a second. We're hitting records with twice as many stocks going DOWN as going up. | It gets worse. | You know what I've been watching all day? The VVIX. That's the volatility OF the VIX. And it's absolutely skyrocketing - up nearly 10% today. | | | Here's the part that should terrify you: | Over 1 million VIX option contracts traded today. There's an extreme bid on VIX calls. Institutional money managers, prop firms, hedge funds... they're hedging in SIZE. | And they're not hedging because they think everything's peachy. | Look, I get it. NVIDIA's up to a $4.3 trillion market cap. Broadcom's closing in on $2 trillion. Oracle's making Larry Ellison rich enough to buy all of Hawaii. | But strip away those handful of AI names and this market is held together with duct tape and prayer. | Then there's tomorrow's CPI report... | The expected move started in the 30s this morning. It's now up to $44 - and climbing as I write this. That's not options decay, folks. That's volatility RISING with one day left to expiration. | Someone knows something. | When the expected move is increasing THIS close to expiration, it means big money is positioning for serious volatility. And with market internals this weak, that volatility probably isn't going to be pleasant. | I don't care where we close today. I care where the puck is headed. | And right now, risk is building in this marketplace in a meaningful way. | This is the first time in quite a while I can point to something this blatant. It's not subtle institutional hedging. It's outright, in-the-open volatility buying. | Put your helmets on, people. We're going in. | The next 24-48 hours are about to get very, very interesting. | Get my complete market breakdown here | Don't be caught unprepared when this thing turns. | To your success, | Don Kaufman
| P.S. - Most people are going to miss this VVIX signal completely. They don't look at volatility of volatility. But when over 1 million VIX contracts trade in a single day... that's institutional money screaming "HEDGE NOW." Listen to what they're doing, not what they're saying. | |
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