The Melt-Up Nobody Wants to Talk About

Hey there, Gianni here.

Last week, while the S&P hit new all-time highs, 50% of professional investment advisors said the market was bearish.

Think about that for a second. New. All-time. Highs. And half the pros were calling it bearish.

Fast forward to today - after a whopping 150-point rally - and suddenly that bearish sentiment drops to 43% while bullish sentiment jumps from 25% to 35%.

This is exactly what I mean when I say sentiment follows price, not the other way around.

The Market Has the Final Say

I do believe the market speaks a certain language. And if you learn the vocabulary, if you learn the grammar, you can start having a conversation with the market.

But let's not forget who has the power here. We're not negotiating with the market. It's more like the market's telling us what to do, and we have to listen.

I'm not gonna come in here and say the market is wrong because Tesla should be crashing based on fundamentals. That's like a child arguing with their parent about jumping in the deep end when they can't swim.

The market's in the position of authority. We are in the position to listen.

Why This Sentiment Shift Actually Matters

Here's what most people miss about sentiment data: it's not an immediate reversal signal. It's a roadmap for what comes next.

When we hit that April bottom this year, 62% of advisors were bearish. The market had just dropped 19.8% - though apparently that wasn't technically a "bear market" according to the definition police.

But look what happened after that sentiment extreme. We've been bullish ever since.

The one-year bullish high was back in November at 49% bullish sentiment. We're still 8% below that level. And guess what? After November, stocks barely did anything for months.

The Dangerous Phase We're Entering

Now we're in breakout mode again. Technology is absolutely destroying everything in its path and reminding everyone who the boss is.

But here's what I'm watching for: we're gonna get to a point soon where the easy money has been made. We're gonna get to a point where some of the moves to the upside are gonna start defying common sense.

I think we're going into a melt-up. A refinance boom. And even the perma-bears who've been calling for the end of the world are starting to capitulate.

That's when you know things are getting interesting.

What This Means for Your Next Move

Does this automatically mean we're topping out right now? No. I actually want to see bullish sentiment continue to grow.

The rally has to start defying expectations. When sentiment gets truly euphoric - not just cautiously optimistic - that's when you start thinking about booking gains.

Remember, the greatest edge in this business is being patient and waiting. Most people can't sit with their own thoughts in a room. It's similar when it comes to trading.

Every time a stock goes against you, there's a temptation to just act. You don't need to act. Sometimes there's an art in getting hit. You have to know how to absorb blows.

Right now, the market's telling us that we're in an uptrend. Is it allowed to be okay? Because I think it's going to be.

That doesn't mean we'll never have pullbacks.

We will have dips.

But when everyone finally gets bullish at the right time, that's your signal to start preparing your exit strategy.

If we listen and do what the market is telling us to do, we'll get our cookie and our cupcake.

Fight it, and you'll be the one jumping in the deep end without knowing how to swim.

Stay sharp,

Gianni Di Poce

Post-Fed Rate Cut Analysis: Why I'm Avoiding Tech & Buying Utilities Instead

The day after the Fed cut rates, markets hit new highs - but Blake explains why he's not chasing tech higher and where the real opportunities are developing.

🎯 What's Covered:
• Tech breakout analysis - sustainable or knee-jerk?
• UK rate vote surprise and stagflation setup
• NextEra utility trade targeting $77 (+10%)
• Copper breakdown warning (5% drop risk)
• Gold pullback entry opportunity
• Triple witching Friday volatility ahead

While everyone's celebrating rate cuts, cross-asset signals suggest something different is developing. Blake breaks down his contrarian positioning across bonds, utilities, and commodities.

WATCH NOW

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