Why I almost got stopped out (and why that's good)

Hey there, Gianni here.

The market was poking at my SOLZ position all day last week. We had a stop loss on a close below $20.80, and it kept teasing that level. "Hey, you gonna make a move?" - like my son calling my name while I'm trying to work.

But we didn't get stopped out. Know why? Because we have a system.

Here's what I've noticed: Most people think trading is about finding the next hot stock or predicting market direction.

But when I look at any chart - doesn't matter if we're in a bull market or bear market - I'm following the same structure every single time.

That's the difference between trading and gambling…

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🔎 Stock & Sector Highlights

Wayfair (W): Bottoming setup in consumer discretionary. Weekly chart suggests path toward 165–170 possible if discretionary spending theme holds. Watching closely.
Restoration Hardware (RH): Watching for whipsaw back after two consecutive breaches of expected move.
Victoria's Secret (VSCO): Potential breakout above $32.80 could confirm bottoming process.
MNMD (MindMed): Actual trade idea logged live. Buy current levels with stop on close below 10.67, target 17. Presents clean breakout structure.
Kratos Defense (KTOS): Very strong momentum name, screening well. Already extended but remains on radar.
AMSC: Called one of the best ideas of the year, outperforming even AppLovin.
Solar sector (TAN ETF): Key resistance 52–53. Break above unlocks potential for 75–80. Long-term bear market but watching carefully.
Arrowhead Pharma (ARWR): Biotech setup looks strong.

Wayfair, casinos, consumer discretionary – early signs that this sector could lead into year-end despite bearish sentiment.

📈 Big Picture

We're in a bull market definition by price trend – higher highs and higher lows across major indices.
Fundamentals only matter in bear markets; right now liquidity and momentum are dominant forces.
Growth, tech, and communications remain the strongest year-to-date performers. Energy showed strength last week but is rolling over again.

🌍 Macro in 60 Seconds

Dollar: Attempted breakout failed. Administration quietly wants weaker USD; global flows confirming this. Weak dollar = pro-growth for the rest of the world.
Yen & Euro: Money is flowing back into Asia and Europe. Euro trend strong, Yen reversal points to capital reallocation abroad.
Bonds: Long bonds rebounding, confirming weaker USD. Rally likely domestic-driven (Fed, treasury, banks) rather than international buyers. Still in long-term bear market, but near-term bounce in play.

Metals: Gold exploded +50 in a day, Silver +20 over six months. Miners ripping. Strong secular uptrend but at risk of blow-off extension. Target for Silver seen eventually at 70, but timeline is

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