And That Proves Everything Wrong With How You Trade
| | Don Kaufman here. | Tesla just delivered record-high quarterly numbers this morning. The stock spiked, then completely reversed. | And that reversal just proved why 90% of traders lose money. | You think information gives you an edge. You think if you could just get the Tesla delivery numbers before everyone else, you'd make a killing. | Here's the truth that'll save your account: Even if you had Tesla's exact delivery numbers in your hand last night, you still couldn't have made money today. | | The Perfect Information Trap | Tesla announces record deliveries - the best fundamental news you could ask for. The stock jumps initially, then reverses hard. Not a small pullback. A full reversal that has market technicians screaming "double top." | Why? Because Tesla hit the upper edge of its expected move. That's a mathematical boundary that doesn't care about your delivery numbers. | You could have been Elon's personal assistant. You still would have gotten destroyed buying the "good news." | Why Your Brain is Your Enemy | Your trader brain wants to create stories: | "Maybe the numbers weren't that good..." "Perhaps the market expected more..." "Could be profit-taking..." | Stop. You're doing exactly what kills accounts. | The real reason is brutally simple: Price hit resistance and reversed. No story needed. | The Order Flow Truth | | While everyone parsed delivery numbers, I watched what actually matters: options order flow. | Calls traded at the bid started exceeding calls at the ask. Translation: smart money was selling while retail celebrated the "great news." | This is the information edge that matters. Not delivery counts. Not analyst upgrades. Real-time order flow showing exactly what money is doing. | The One Rule That Matters | I made this mistake for years. Perfect information - earnings whispers, management guidance, sector rotations - and still lost money. | Because I was playing the wrong game. | Tesla's record deliveries proved it today: the best fundamental news means nothing when you hit technical resistance. | Stop trading the story. Start trading the structure. | Your edge isn't in knowing more. It's in understanding what actually moves markets. | To your success, | Don Kaufman | | LIVE | Blake just hit +40% in August, +20% in September trading Euro FX futures. | Only trades 2 hours a day. Sets his levels at 6 PM the night before. Shows up at 9:30 AM and watches the market hit his targets. | No caffeine addiction. No 12-screen setups. No stress. | Just one signal in one market with $300 margin controlling $125,000 worth of currency. | Fed cuts made his system "more powerful than ever" - he'll explain why tomorrow. | | |
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