You’ve seen this movie…
A spaceship drifts too close to a black hole. Light bends. Time warps. Weird things happen. Then it crosses the event horizon (the point of no return)... and vanishes.
That’s where I believe we are in this bull market, right now.
16 years of easy money, insane gains and tech billionaires richer than God have created a gaping black hole of risk.
Now we’re past the safe zone, approaching the event horizon... the last wild rush before the immutable laws of the universe rip the whole thing apart. Don’t just take my word for it.
MarketWatch says the rally’s “moving more toward melt-up mode.”
Contrarian macrostrategist David Hunter believes the S&P could be headed for a parabolic 8000, before a brutal 80% drop.
Even Ray Dalio (a man who’s tracked 500 years of debt cycles) warns the U.S. is heading into “very, very dark times.”
Is your portfolio equipped to survive such a wild ride?
Honestly, probably not. There’s a good chance you’ll get dragged into the abyss, just like millions of others.
And don’t look to Washington to ride to your rescue. It’s too late for that. We were promised a big fix, but it never arrived.
Instead, the debts are bigger, the deficit is fatter, and core inflation is ever higher.
This market’s like a house with fresh paint and termites chewing through the foundations… it looks strong from the street with stocks at all-time highs, but beneath the surface it’s been hollowed out.
Analyst Michael Lebowitz sees “striking similarities to the dot-com melt-up of 1999” and so do I.
Back then, rate cuts acted like fuel on an already raging fire… predictably, the market got too hot and flamed out:
It’s happening all over again. President Trump and Scott Bessent have pressured the Fed into cutting rates, with more to come.
But history tells us that by the time desperate cuts arrive, the damage is already done. The bubble is too big. Too unstoppable. And the outcome, in my view, is inevitable.
I don’t say that as a casual observer.
For nearly 30 years I’ve built a career helping regular investors prepare for dramatic shifts in the financial system… calling Fannie and Freddie’s implosion, America’s lost AAA credit rating and the Covid inflation shock long before the headlines.
And now, I’m doing everything I can to prepare you for the coming breaking point. Most folks will be left holding the bag, loaded up on the wrong stocks at the wrong time.
That doesn’t have to be your story.
In this recent broadcast, I’ll show you:
- Why the most dangerous flaw in America’s financial system has reached a point of no return
- How Trump’s recent actions are accelerating the coming crisis
- And what I believe you must do now to avoid the worst of it – and potentially even profit from the shift
I also name three investments you can make today… assets that could see a huge influx of capital when this situation escalates.
This might be your final chance to prepare before we cross the event horizon.
Let me show you exactly what to do.
Good investing,
Porter Stansberry
After Gold Blast Soars Past $4,000, BofA Eyes $5,000 in 2026
Written by Leo Miller. Published 10/14/2025.
Key Points
- Gold's rally has been a constant throughout 2025, marking a historically good year for the metal.
- The government shutdown and increased tensions between the United States and China have helped push gold above $4,000 per ounce.
- Now, multiple analysts see gold reaching $5,000, implying more than 20% upside versus Oct. 13 levels.
In 2025, gold has been one of the most unstoppable assets in financial markets. The yellow metal repeatedly hit new all-time highs, rising roughly 57% as of the close of Oct. 13.
That performance puts gold on track for its best calendar-year return since at least 1988. Even the roughly 30% gains seen in 2007 and 2010 pale in comparison to gold's 2025 surge.
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Recently, the metal blasted past the vaunted $4,000-per-ounce mark and was trading near $4,100 on Oct. 13. That milestone comes almost exactly seven months after gold first crossed $3,000 in March. The key question now is what comes next. Below, we explain what helped gold top $4,000 and where analysts think it might go.
Government Shutdown and China Tensions Help Gold Break $4,000
Several factors helped push gold beyond $4,000 in October. One clear contributor is the U.S. federal government shutdown, which has been ongoing since the start of the month — and shows little sign of a quick resolution.
House Speaker Mike Johnson recently said the United States is "barreling toward one of the longest shutdowns in American history."
The shutdown increases economic and societal uncertainty, and in times like these investors often flock to gold because of its role as a safe-haven asset.
The shutdown has also delayed key economic releases on employment and inflation. The Federal Reserve closely watches that data when setting short-term interest rates. In the absence of fresh data, markets were pricing roughly a 97% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut in October.
Lower interest rates typically weaken the dollar, which is another tailwind for gold.
Rising tensions between the U.S. and China added fuel to the rally. China announced tighter export restrictions on rare-earth metals and specialized magnets, commodities for which it is the largest global supplier.
President Trump then responded by threatening an additional 100% tariff on Chinese goods. As geopolitical friction escalates between the world's two largest economies, demand for gold as a hedge has increased.
BofA Pivots Gold Outlook, Sees Rally to $5,000 in 2026
As with any asset, analysts disagree on what comes next. Bank of America had warned in early October that multiple technical indicators pointed to an "exhaustion" of gold's rally as it approached $4,000 per ounce, noting the metal could see a correction in Q4 and fall as low as $3,525.
However, BofA has since significantly revised its view. On October 13, BofA raised its 2026 gold price forecast to $5,000, while still acknowledging the risk of a near-term pullback. The bank pointed to the "White House's unorthodox policy framework" and a push for rate cuts as factors likely to support higher gold prices.
Goldman Sachs has issued a $4,900 target on gold by the end of 2026, up from a prior $4,300 forecast, citing potential inflows into Western gold ETFs and continued central bank purchases. French bank Société Générale has also set a $5,000 target.
Those forecasts imply upside of roughly 20%–22% from gold's ~ $4,100 level.
GLD, GDX, GDXJ: 3 Marquee Gold ETFs
With gold surging and analysts projecting further gains, investors can choose different ways to gain exposure depending on risk tolerance and objectives. Whether investors want direct bullion exposure or leveraged plays on mining companies, these ETFs offer distinct ways to access one of 2025's top-performing assets.
Direct Gold Exposure: SPDR Gold Shares ETF
The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (NYSEARCA: GLD) is the most popular and liquid ETF that tracks the price of physical gold, offering a straightforward way to gain exposure without handling storage.
GLD is backed by physical bullion and generally mirrors spot price movements, making it suitable for investors seeking a low-maintenance safe-haven holding.
With more than $60 billion in assets under management, GLD serves as a core holding for retail and institutional investors, particularly during inflationary periods or heightened macro uncertainty.
As gold climbed to record highs above $4,100 per ounce in 2025, GLD returned more than 55% year-to-date, closely tracking the metal's performance.
More Leverage to Gold Prices: VanEck Gold Miners ETF
For investors seeking exposure to gold producers rather than the metal itself, the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDX) provides greater sensitivity to gold-price moves through large-cap mining stocks.
GDX holds roughly 50 major gold producers such as Newmont (NYSE: NEM), Barrick (NYSE: B), and Agnico Eagle (NYSE: AEM)—companies with global operations and significant production scale.
When gold prices rise, these firms typically see expanded earnings, so GDX has the potential to outperform GLD during sustained rallies.
In 2025, GDX returned about 134%, well ahead of gold's roughly 57% price gain.
High-Risk, High-Reward: VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDXJ) focuses on smaller, more speculative miners, including junior exploration companies and early-stage producers.
These names are more sensitive to gold prices and investor sentiment, so GDXJ tends to show amplified performance during bull markets. In 2025 it delivered approximately a 146% return.
That upside comes with greater volatility and unique risks, such as funding constraints and operational setbacks.
An often-overlooked factor in mining-ETF performance is energy costs. Diesel and fuel are significant operational expenses for gold producers, so lower oil prices can materially improve margins.
In 2025, West Texas Intermediate crude fell about 17%, easing cost pressures for miners and contributing to the outperformance of GDX and GDXJ relative to the metal itself.
Gold Still Has Room to Run: Why the Bull Case Isn't Over Yet
Gold's explosive 2025 run shows few signs of fading. Bullish forecasts from major banks, supportive macro conditions, and persistent geopolitical risk continue to fuel momentum. While near-term volatility and corrections remain possible, the long-term bull case is intact—particularly if tensions escalate and rate cuts materialize.
For investors who want to participate, ETFs such as GLD, GDX, and GDXJ offer differentiated exposure—direct bullion pricing or leveraged miner performance. With upside targets stretching toward $5,000 per ounce, gold remains one of the most compelling trades in the current market.
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