Navigating this market isn’t easy…
But trying to trade the indexes without a time-tested plan is suicide.
You don’t have to win the battle…you just have to win the war.
This is How You Do it
Don here...
6,033.
Tony mentioned that number at the start of today's session. Then the market proved him right over and over again.
Price approached it. Bounced 40 handles. Came back. Paused. Tested it again. Paused. Every major inflection point happened exactly where Tony said it would.
This isn't magic. This is understanding how markets actually work.
Tony uses a proprietary level system he reverse engineered 13 years ago. These 33-based levels act like magnets. Price overshoots them and comes right back. They create support and resistance you can see coming before the crowd notices.
In today's free session replay, you'll discover:
- Why the ES leads the entire market and how to use it for early warnings. This morning the ES carved out a perfect W-pattern on the weekly pivot while NQ struggled to follow. Tony explains why watching ES behavior gives you the edge before moves happen. The volume data proves it. ES traded 1.1 million contracts versus 470,000 in NQ. That's where the big money operates and where the clearest signals appear.
- The opening range framework that captured 40 handles in a single morning trade. The first entry signal at 6:50am would have failed. But Tony's system told him to wait. The real entry came at 7:16am after the clean close below opening range. That patience turned a potential loss into a winning trade that paid 40 handles before lunch.
- How Tony identified the quarterly pivot battle before it happened. The purple line on his chart marks where the previous futures contract expired. When price approaches these levels, behavior changes. Tony explains why this specific level at 6,058 became the battleground for the entire session. Understanding contract expiration creates an edge most traders never see.
- The divergence pattern that telegraphed the morning selloff in advance. While tech was holding relatively flat, ES was already breaking down. The advanced decline line confirmed broad selling across the S&P 500 universe. Tony shows you exactly how to read these signals so you're positioned before the move accelerates instead of chasing after it happens.
- Why Tony switched from NQ to ES and what that decision reveals about risk management. When volatility spiked, Tony immediately changed instruments. He explains exactly what signals tell you when a market has crossed from opportunity to danger. This one decision kept him profitable while traders who stayed in NQ got chopped to pieces.
The market dropped over 100 points this morning. The kind of move that looks obvious in hindsight but feels terrifying in real time.
Tony stayed calm. He followed his framework. He waited for his levels. He took the trade when probability shifted in his favor.
The W-pattern on the weekly pivot was textbook. But knowing how to trade it made the difference between capturing 40 handles and getting stopped out on the first test.
Tony held through multiple tests of support when the trade looked dead. The matching lows created the W. When price broke over the top, it ran exactly as the structure predicted.
This is reading market structure instead of guessing.
The patterns repeat constantly. Opening range setups. Support and resistance at predictable levels. Volatility shifts that change the game.
Tony's been watching these patterns for 13 years. They don't change. The market keeps doing the same thing over and over again.
The difference is knowing where to look and having a system that tells you when to act.
→ Watch Tony's complete session to see how level-based trading and opening range methodology identify high probability setups before they happen
To your success,
Don Kaufman
Chief Market Strategist, TheoTRADE
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