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Tuesday's Bonus News

Broadcom Secures $460 Price Target, Implying +30% Upside

Written by Leo Miller. Published 10/22/2025.

Key Points

Broadcom just signed a huge deal with ChatGPT maker OpenAI.
Wall Street analysts raised their price targets in response. Most recent forecasts predict that shares will reach or exceed $400.
The stock's most bullish target implies more than 30% upside potential. Its most bearish recent target suggests little downside.

After its massive 10-gigawatt (GW) deal with OpenAI, Wall Street analysts are again issuing big upgrades on semiconductor giant Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO). The OpenAI news sent shares up by nearly 10% on Oct. 13.

Now, over 60% of recent price targets indicate shares could reach the previously unseen $400 level.

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Additionally, Broadcom has received its highest price target ever.

Let's dive into Broadcom's latest price-target data and examine how high and how low analysts believe shares may move.

AVGO's Most Bullish Target Eyes Up to 32% Upside in Shares

The MarketBeat-tracked consensus price target on Broadcom sits at approximately $372. That implies roughly 7% upside and is slightly above Broadcom's all-time closing high of $369. The more recently an analyst updated their price target, the more bullish they tend to be.

For analysts whose last update came in September, the average target rises to $383; for those updating on or after Oct. 13, it jumps to $423.

With shares closing at around $349 on Oct. 20, a $423 target implies about 21% upside. Although not unprecedented, that potential is encouraging for a stock that has already climbed sharply. Shares have provided a total return of 52% in 2025 and nearly 170% since Liberation Day lows in April.

Broadcom also received two particularly high price targets from Barclays and KeyCorp. Their respective $450 and $460 targets suggest Broadcom shares could rise between 29% and 32%. KeyCorp's top target replaces its previous $420 target from Sept. 30, which tied for Broadcom's highest at the time.

The Majority of Recent Targets See Broadcom Going to $400 or Higher

Notably, none of Broadcom's October price targets exceed $400. Still, out of roughly 20 Broadcom price targets tracked by MarketBeat since the beginning of September, 13 now sit at $400 or higher. This count excludes multiple ratings that were not accompanied by a price target.

Overall, just under two-thirds of recent Broadcom price targets imply at least 14% upside. That is another factor supporting the stock's ability to sustain its impressive run.

Broadcom's current valuation is also supported by the fact that only one tracked analyst has a price target below the stock's current price: Wells Fargo & Company, which places a $345 target on Broadcom.

Even though it is the most bearish recent target, it only implies about a 1% downside. Recent analyst sentiment is positively skewed, indicating limited downside and notable upside potential.

Broadcom May Be Catching Up, But It Still Trails NVIDIA on Multiple Fronts

Given Broadcom's OpenAI deal, analysts' increased bullishness is unsurprising. Based on energy consumption, Broadcom's agreement was comparable to the 10 GW partnership that NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) signed with OpenAI.

This suggests OpenAI views Broadcom as essential to its AI ambitions and indicates NVIDIA will not capture all of the opportunity. It further cements Broadcom as the most important AI chip designer outside of NVIDIA. Deutsche Bank analysts estimate Broadcom could generate over $100 billion in revenue over the three-year OpenAI deal.

If the company generates about $33 billion a year from the deal, that would imply a substantial increase in its AI semiconductor revenues.

As of last quarter, that business produced an annual run-rate of just under $21 billion.

Evidence suggests Broadcom is gaining ground on NVIDIA when it comes to attracting AI spending. NVIDIA's data center revenue grew by 56% last quarter to $41.1 billion. Meanwhile, Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue grew by 63% to $5.2 billion, indicating its share of spending increased.

However, NVIDIA's numbers also reflected a $4 billion decline in H20 chip revenues due to export restrictions on China. Had those sales been maintained, NVIDIA's data center growth would have been 71%, higher than Broadcom's AI growth. Either way, Broadcom's AI revenue remains less than one-fifth of NVIDIA's data center revenue.

Despite bullish sentiment around Broadcom, Wall Street's enthusiasm for NVIDIA remains stronger. The MarketBeat consensus price target on NVIDIA implies around 21% upside, and its most bullish $320 target implies 75% upside. Additionally, the stock's lowest target since the beginning of August is $200, which still indicates expectations for further gains.

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