In Today’s Masters in Trading: Live Four times a year, we can always depend on two market-moving events – earnings and the Fed’s quarterly dot plots. I know everyone reading this understands the power of a big earnings beat. The Fed’s quarterly dot plots offer the markets a similar type of catalyst. For those who don’t know, the Fed’s dot plot is a chart that records each Fed official’s projection for the central bank’s key short-term interest rate. It’s treated as gospel in many corners of the market. And while it’s important to understand how members of the country’s central bank think about the economy, it’s not the kind of edge we need to find truly life-altering gains. Here’s the dirty secret: The fastest signal about rates isn’t coming from Fed Chair Jerome Powell – it’s coming from actual money on the line. That means prediction markets like Kalshi, Polymarket, and the CME rate futures truly have their finger on the pulse of the market. You simply won’t find the edge you’re looking for in those Fed dot plots. Consider this. After the U.S. and China started inching closer to a trade deal recently, it wasn’t the latest Fed quarterly dot plot that showed me how big lithium names were going to get. It was the global prediction markets calling the move. The same markets that helped propel profitable names like SGML and ALB over the last few months. It’s just like the smart money signals that tip us off to massive opportunities before the broader market grows wise. And traders are finally waking up to that fact. None of this is brand new. The fact is, prediction markets have been beating the Fed for years – and right now, that intel gap between both measures is widening. So in today's episode of Masters in Trading LIVE at 11 AM EST, I’m diving deep into the power of prediction markets – and why the key signals in this space are a perfect complement to the institutional signals we discover every day. Interested in taking the next step toward options mastery? The Masters in Trading Options Challenge is right here to help you in your journey. The Challenge is where we take everything you’ve learned in my daily LIVEs — fixed risk, thesis-driven exits, laddered entries, defined-duration trades, and emotional discipline — and put it into practice in a structured, step-by-step environment. For two weeks, we walk through the foundations of real options trading the way I learned them on the trading floor. You’ll learn exactly how I think, exactly how I build trades, and exactly how I manage both the winners and the losers. Just click here to check out what the Masters in Trading Options Challenge has in store for you. 
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