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Did Walmart Just Save the Holidays for Investors?
Posted On Nov 20, 2025 by Chris Markoch
As Walmart Inc. (NYSE: WMT)goes, so goes the nation. That was an idiom that was first used to describe General Motors in the 1960s. But in the consumer-driven economy of 2025, Walmart is a key barometer for the health of the economy.
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If that's the case, then the economy just got some good medicine. Walmart delivered a strong earnings report. Revenue and earnings beat expectations, and the company raised its full-year guidance.
It's hard to understate the significance of this report. If Walmart had missed its numbers or issued cautious guidance, it would have surely sent the broader market lower. However, for now, investors are breathing a sigh of relief that consumers appear to be opening their wallets for the all-important holiday season.
Walmart Delivered Strong Earnings
The headline numbers in Walmart's earnings report were solid. Revenue of $179.50 billion beat expectations for $175.15 billion. On the bottom line, earnings per share (EPS) of 62 cents beat expectations for 60 cents.
More importantly, those numbers were up 6% and 6.9% on a year-over-year (YoY) basis. The company also raised its guidance for net sales and earnings per share for the remainder of its 2026 fiscal year (FY).
The report also reiterated three other important points. First, this is now an international company. Some of the company's strongest growth came from China where net sales (in constant currency) were up 21.8%.
Second, Walmart continues to grow its e-commerce business. In the quarter, global e-commerce revenue was up 27%. The company noted that it had over 20% growth across all segments, with particular strength in its pharmaceutical business.
Third, revenue from Walmart+ subscriptions and advertising revenue are becoming a larger part of the company's revenue stream. That's critical to investors because this kind of revenue brings with it higher margins.
To reflect the company's growing role as an omnichannel retailer, Walmart will begin trading on the NASDAQ exchange, starting on December 9. It's ticker symbol (WMT) will not change.
A Cautiously Optimistic Consumer Outlook
WMT stock is up more than 5.3% in early trading after the report. The optimism is based on more than just the numbers. The company reiterated a message from its prior reports. That is, the retailer continues to capture more share of wallet from higher-income consumers while still offering value to its core lower-income shoppers.
Discussing the state of the consumer, outgoing chief executive officer (CEO) Doug McMillon remarked:
"As we look at our customers and members here in the US, they’re still spending with upper and middle income households driving our growth. We continue to benefit from higher income families choosing to shop with us more often. Middle income households have been steady and while lower income families have been under additional pressure of late, we’re encouraged by how our teams are meeting them with greater value across necessities and doing what we can to help them stretch their dollars further."
Is Walmart Stock Too Expensive?
There’s a saying that a company is different from its stock. You know you're getting a good value from shopping at Walmart. But is WMT stock a good value? The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 39x.
That's a premium to the S&P 500 and a small premium to the company's historic average. That premium is a little bigger with the company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio that is around 1.18x.
However, analysts project that Walmart will deliver earnings growth of over 18% in the next 12 months. Several analysts raised their price targets ahead of the report.
After the post-earnings move, WMT stock has moved above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). It also appears that the MACD line is ready to reverse. Expect the stock to reclaim its October 27 high and to move higher to close out the year.
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