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Tuesday's Featured Article

Worried About Mag 7 Concentration Risk? This ETF Could Help

Written by Leo Miller. Published 12/1/2025.

As the world's largest companies continue growing larger, it is increasingly important for investors to understand concentration risk. Below, we detail what concentration risk is and why it is becoming more relevant. We also highlight a key ETF that can help investors push back against it. All data is as of the Dec. 1 close unless otherwise indicated.

Concentration Risk is Rising, Amplified by "AI Bubble" Fears

Concentration risk refers to the situation where a small group of stocks accounts for an increasingly large share of a portfolio. As this happens, a portfolio's overall performance becomes more dependent on the success of a few companies. That can benefit investors if those companies continue to outperform, but it also increases downside risk if they stumble.

The Magnificent Seven provides a clear example of concentration risk. As of Nov. 28, those seven companies combined made up roughly 35% of the S&P 500 Index's weighting. While representing less than 2% of the 500 stocks in the index, they determine 35% of its return — showing how an S&P 500 investment can be heavily influenced by a handful of stocks.

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Key Points

The Magnificent Seven stocks have become an increasingly large driver of the S&P 500's return.
For many investors, this results in a key concern: concentration risk.
An Invesco ETF can help investors maintain exposure to S&P 500 companies, while also mitigating concentration risk.

Most investors hold a substantial portion of their equity exposure in S&P 500 funds, making concentration risk a very relevant issue. It has also become more pronounced over time: according to Columbia Threadneedle Investments, the top ten largest stocks in the S&P 500 made up only around 20% of the index in 2015.

Concentration risk becomes an even bigger concern when considering the possibility of an artificial intelligence (AI) bubble. The Magnificent Seven includes the companies that have invested most heavily in AI. If an AI-related bubble were to burst, these stocks would likely be among the hardest hit.

Understanding the S&P 500's Weighting: The Big Get Bigger

Concentration within the S&P 500 is rising largely because of the index's weighting methodology. The S&P 500 is weighted by market capitalization: the larger a company's market cap, the larger its weight in the index. NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) has the highest market cap of any company in the world at around $4.4 trillion and therefore accounts for about 7.4% of the S&P 500.

Because the Magnificent Seven have often outperformed the broader index, their share of the S&P 500 has grown. Over the past two years, the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (BATS: MAGS) returned roughly 110%, compared with about 52% for the S&P 500.

That's where the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (NYSEARCA: RSP) comes in. Its weighting methodology can help mitigate concentration risk.

RSP: Using Equal Weighting to Reduce Concentration Risk

Instead of weighting each stock in the S&P 500 by market cap, RSP weights each stock equally. At the start of each quarter, Invesco rebalances RSP so that every stock represents approximately 0.2% of the fund. In this structure, NVIDIA would have the same influence on RSP's return as Conagra Brands (NYSE: CAG), one of the smallest stocks in the index. That equal treatment helps counter concentration risk and reduces exposure to AI-specific concentration, since many S&P 500 companies have limited ties to that theme.

Investors should note that individual weights in RSP fluctuate between rebalances. For example, Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD) was up 26% in Q3, pushing its allocation within RSP to nearly 0.4%, while Oracle (NYSE: ORCL), down 29% in Q3, fell to around 0.1% of the fund.

RSP can be a useful tool to counter concentration risk. However, over long periods it has underperformed the market-cap-weighted S&P 500. Over the past 10 years, RSP's total return is approximately 186%, compared with about 286% for the S&P 500. While past performance does not guarantee future results, this gap illustrates that a higher allocation to the largest stocks has so far produced superior returns. Investors considering RSP should weigh the potential benefits of reduced concentration against the risk that the market's preference for the largest stocks could continue.

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