♟ The Day America Lost Its Safe Haven Status

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"Yesterday wasn't just a market tantrum over tariff tweets. It was a preview of what happens when America loses its financial credibility."

Karim Rahemtulla, Head Fundamental Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

Publisher's Note: We're having a celebrity guest join us tomorrow in the Monument Traders LIVE chatroom! "safe havens"

Jon Najarian, a former Chicago Bears linebacker turned professional trader, is joining us LIVE at 2 p.m. ET.

Jon is a professional investor, money manager, and media analyst who's earned a reputation in the industry as an options trading expert.

Join him and Chris LIVE on Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.

Click here to add it to your calendar.

- Stephen Prior, Publisher



Karim Rahemtulla

$1.4 trillion in market value wiped out in a single session.

But that's not the scary part.

The scary part is watching the U.S. dollar and Treasury markets get dumped right alongside everything else when global tensions exploded over Greenland tariffs.

Yesterday reminded me that we're living through a fundamental shift in how the world views American assets. And most investors have no idea what's coming next.

On January 17, President Trump announced via Truth Social that imports from Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the U.K., the Netherlands, and Finland would face 10% tariffs starting February 1. The tariff rate escalates to 25% on June 1, unless the U.S. gets to purchase Greenland.

European leaders called it "new colonialism." They held emergency summits. Military reinforcement were sent under Operation Arctic Endurance.

The NATO alliance is straining.

Markets predictably tanked.

  • The Dow fell 870 points (1.76%).
  • The S&P dropped 143 points (2.06%).
  • The Nasdaq slid 561 points (2.39%).

That was worst day for all three since October 2025.

Tech got crushed too... Nvidia down 4.5%, Apple down 2.8%, Broadcom down 5.5%.

Standard Market Tantrum? Wrong.

Here's the problem...

While the markets shook in their boots yesterday... the 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 4.30%, up more than 6 basis points, while the 30-year spiked to 4.92%. The dollar index fell 0.76% to 98.64 - the largest daily drop in over a month.

In the old world, when global tensions spiked, money fled to U.S. Treasurys and dollars. Flight to safety.

Not anymore.

Yesterday, both got dumped alongside everything else.

We've lost our safe-haven status.

Tariffs are ALWAYS paid by the receiver of the goods, not the sender - those "tariff checks" politicians talk about are your own money being recycled back to you.

But the tariff details don't matter. What matters is that when America creates global chaos, global money no longer automatically flows into American assets for protection.

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Massive Implications

Our country is like a credit card junkie - $38.5 trillion in debt and climbing. We finance everything through borrowing, which works when the world wants to lend to us at reasonable rates.

But $8.5 trillion of that debt is held by foreigners. Foreign holdings hit a record $9.36 trillion in November, led by Japan ($1.2 trillion), the U.K. ($807 billion), and China ($750 billion).

China's Treasury holdings fell to the lowest level since 2008. They've been quietly reducing their exposure to U.S. debt for years.

When you lose safe-haven status, foreigners demand higher yields to compensate for increased risk. They start diversifying away from your assets entirely.

Higher rates kill growth stocks.

Worse, if this becomes permanent rather than temporary market stress, we're looking at structurally higher borrowing costs and a weaker dollar in the long term.

The bond market will ultimately dictate what the stock market does. And right now, the bond market is saying American assets aren't the automatic safe choice they used to be.

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YOUR ACTION PLAN

Investors who assume U.S. assets will always be the global safe haven during a crisis are making a dangerous bet based on outdated assumptions.

The world is watching how we handle this Greenland situation. If we keep creating global instability while expecting the world to keep funding our debt at favorable rates, we might discover how quickly financial dominance can shift.

Yesterday wasn't just a market tantrum over tariff tweets. It was a preview of what happens when America loses its financial credibility.

The question is whether we're witnessing the beginning of the end of the dollar's special status in global finance.

That shift would change everything about how we invest, how our economy functions, and how much our government can afford to borrow.

Keep watching Treasury yields and dollar strength during future crisis moments. If this pattern holds, we're in for an investment environment very different from anything most Americans have ever experienced.


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Bryan Bottarelli, Head Trade Tactician, Monument Traders Alliance

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Dear Reader,

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The Dark Ticker Trade has already delivered 34 winning trades since inception with an incredible 66.7% win rate.


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