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Gold at $5,000—3 Mining Stocks for the Next Gold Rush

Reported by Chris Markoch. Publication Date: 1/27/2026.

Quick Look

Gold futures have crossed the $5,000 level, signaling a potentially new long-term trading range for the metal.
Large-cap miners like Newmont offer stability, while mid- and small-cap miners provide asymmetric upside to gold prices.
Even with potential pullbacks in gold, many miners remain highly profitable, supporting continued investor interest.

The spot price of gold climbed past $5,000 for the first time during futures trading on Jan. 25. The move is psychologically significant and hits the "big number" many analysts have been anticipating.

Many analysts believe gold is poised to move substantially higher. At the same time, several concede this surge to more than $5,000 has come faster than expected, which raises the possibility of a near-term pullback before a further advance.

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That distinction matters for investors considering physical gold. Mining stocks, however, have been a strong trade over the past 12 months, and many analysts expect that strength to continue into 2026.

One reason is that even if the spot price of gold falls 5%–10%, many miners would remain profitable. That encourages investors to buy large-cap, best-in-class miners — a sensible strategy — but mid-cap and small-cap miners can offer asymmetric upside as well.

Newmont: Best-in-Class Exposure to a Higher Gold Regime

For investors seeking exposure to the top tier of mining stocks, it's tough to beat Newmont Gold Corp. (NYSE: NEM). The company is one of the world's largest gold producers, which is reflected in its revenue and earnings.

Through the first three quarters of 2025, Newmont's revenue was up 21% year-over-year (YOY), while earnings per share (EPS) rose about 111% YOY. Analysts expect EPS growth to slow to roughly 10% over the next 12 months, which is reasonable given tough year-ago comparisons.

Over a longer horizon, analysts forecast average annual EPS growth of around 60% over the next five years, in part based on expectations that gold is entering a multiyear higher trading range.

At a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 19x, NEM looks rich compared with its historical norms. Still, high-quality producers can merit higher valuations, so historical comparisons may understate fair value for a company of Newmont's caliber.

B2Gold: New Production Brings Asymmetric Growth Potential

Large miners benefit from existing production, which supports revenue and cash flow now. Miners still adding new production, however, offer an asymmetric growth opportunity when those projects come online.

That's part of the appeal for B2Gold Corp. (NYSEAMERICAN: BTG). The company recently announced commercial production at its Goose Mine in Canada, and it projects the site will produce about 300,000 ounces annually by 2027.

Goose is just the latest commercially viable project in B2Gold's portfolio. The company operates three active mines, has two additional projects in development, and continues exploration at other sites.

Analysts are forecasting roughly $1.15 billion in revenue for B2Gold — an impressive YOY gain of more than 130% — though that figure remains only about 20% of Newmont's revenue.

BTG stock is up 127% in the last 12 months and about 21% so far in 2026, which leaves limited margin for disappointment. With earnings due Feb. 18, the next catalyst will be whether results and guidance justify the rally and prompt analysts to become more constructive.

TRX Gold: High-Risk, High-Reward Junior Miner

For risk-tolerant investors seeking asymmetric upside, TRX Gold Corp. (NYSEAMERICAN: TRX) is a small-cap, junior miner that may fit the profile. The company has a market cap around $385 million.

The company is not consistently profitable yet but is generating revenue; in its most recent quarter it reported record top-line results and improved earnings.

That said, TRX's revenue and earnings are tied largely to a single asset, its Buckreef Gold Project in Tanzania, which concentrates both the upside and the risk. The company is using free cash flow from recent operations to fund capital expenditures and expansion.

TRX is not hedged, so a reversal in the spot price of gold would expose the company to downside. But if you believe gold has a long runway for growth, TRX could act like a lottery ticket with significant upside potential.

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