Dear Reader,
If you've noticed that tech is slipping…
While commodities are surging…
And geopolitical conflicts are intensifying…
You may already be connecting the dots.
From the skirmish in Ukraine to the conflict with Iran, the world is experiencing chaos and instability in a way we haven’t seen in decades.
According to legendary forecaster and former CNBC co-host JC Parets, “It’s part of a predictable cycle.”
Parets — who famously called the crash of 2008 as well as the exact start of the 2022 bull market — calls it the Chaos Cycle.
We saw this force play out from 1999 to 2011.
And we saw another cycle from 1968 to 1981, a period that also saw intense conflict in the Middle East.
During these periods, growth stocks gradually stall…
While investments tied to real assets can soar 20x… even 30x.
JC recently filmed a short video explaining the cycle — and how he recommends playing it.
Good investing,
Pete Campbell
Publisher, TrendLabs
Bargain Alert: Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs Look Deeply Oversold
Submitted by Sam Quirke. Published: 3/13/2026.
Key Points
- Shares of Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs have fallen sharply in recent weeks after disappointing earnings earlier in the year and a broader market shift toward risk-off assets.
- Both stocks are now trading well below recent analyst price targets, which call for meaningful upside from current levels.
- With technical indicators showing extremely oversold conditions and earnings due next month, both banks may be setting up for a recovery rally.
- Special Report: Elon Musk: This Could Turn $100 into $100,000
Financial stocks have struggled in recent weeks as rising geopolitical tensions pushed investors into safer assets and renewed doubts about the durability of growth in the banking space weighed on the sector.
That shift is notable because many banks performed strongly through much of 2025. Two large names hit hardest in the latest selloff are Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS). Both stocks are down roughly 20% from recent highs and are trading at technically oversold levels. There's a growing case that the market may have overreacted—here's a look at the opportunity in each one.
Wells Fargo Looks Extremely Oversold
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Much of the decline followed the bank's most recent earnings report, where Wells Fargo missed expectations on both revenue and earnings. That disappointed investors who had come to expect stronger results during the banking sector's rally in 2025.
The company also faces ongoing operational challenges. Its efficiency ratio remains relatively high versus peers, limiting margin expansion that investors typically expect from large banks. This week, reports surfaced that Wells Fargo was among several Wall Street lenders exposed to the failed U.K. mortgage finance firm Market Financial Solutions. While the ultimate financial impact is unclear, the headline risk exacerbated the stock's decline.
Is an Opportunity Opening Up?
The sharp drop has pushed Wells Fargo into deeply oversold technical territory. Its relative strength index (RSI) is at levels that often precede a period of consolidation or an outright bounce.
Analysts appear to view the pullback as a buying opportunity. Evercore reiterated its Outperform rating last week, and UBS maintained a Buy rating with a price target near $113, implying roughly 50% upside from current levels.
For investors considering a position, the key will be whether Wells Fargo can establish a new floor after the selloff and recent lows. If shares begin to stabilize, a recovery rally ahead of next month's earnings report could take shape quickly.
Goldman Sachs May Also Be Due for a Bounce
Goldman Sachs has seen a similar pullback, with shares down about 20% since January as investors reassess growth prospects after last year's roughly 60% gain.
Part of the weakness followed the company's last earnings report, where Goldman missed revenue expectations, raising questions about the strength of its investment banking and trading businesses in a more volatile market.
The bank's premium valuation versus peers left it vulnerable when sentiment shifted. That decline has pushed Goldman into technically oversold territory, with its RSI falling to levels that could signal exhaustion.
Why the Market May Be Overreacting
Despite the pullback, analysts remain broadly constructive on Goldman Sachs. JPMorgan recently raised its price target to $826, above the current trading range near $790, suggesting the market may be undervaluing the stock after the slide. If capital markets activity stabilizes or improves later this year, Goldman could benefit given its leading position in investment banking and trading.
The central question for both stocks is whether they can find a floor. With sector sentiment depressed and technical indicators showing extreme oversold conditions, the setup for consolidation and a potential relief rally is forming. Next month's earnings reports could be the catalyst: any signs that growth is stabilizing may help these shares recover momentum.
Academy Sports Stock Sinks After Earnings: Buy the Dip or Beware?
By Chris Markoch. First Published: 3/18/2026.
Key Points
- Academy Sports stock fell over 11% after missing earnings and issuing weak guidance, reinforcing concerns about pressured consumers.
- Declining store traffic and rising inventory levels suggest demand softness despite modest revenue and margin growth.
- Technical indicators point to a possible bounce, but key support levels must hold to avoid further downside.
- Special Report: Elon Musk: This Could Turn $100 into $100,000
Academy Sports + Outdoors (NASDAQ: ASO) stock fell more than 11% after it delivered a rough Q4 2025 earnings report. The company missed on both the top and bottom lines and issued cautious forward guidance, suggesting consumers remain under pressure — a common theme for many retail stocks this earnings season.
This contrasted with the March 12 earnings report from DICK'S Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS), which posted beats on both revenue and earnings. Both companies, however, gave lighter guidance.
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Click here now because Elon Musk is predicting this investment could jump 1,000x higher from here.That's where the story gets interesting: investors seemed willing to look past DKS's weak guidance. For at least one trading day, the same couldn't be said of ASO.
Still, at least one analyst remains bullish. Cristina Fernandez of Telsey Advisory Group reiterated an Outperform rating and a $65 price target for ASO — above the consensus target of $60.22, which implies roughly 20% upside from current levels.
Analysts aren't infallible, but earnings reports are both backward- and forward-looking. It's important not to overweight either, but to use both to form a view of where the company may be headed.
The Fundamentals Tell a Mixed Story
On the surface, the Q4 numbers were respectable: net sales rose 2.5% year-over-year to $1.7 billion, gross margin expanded 140 basis points to 33.6%, and GAAP EPS increased 4.8% to $1.98. E-commerce sales grew 13.6% for the full year, a sign the company is building a meaningful omnichannel business, aided by the launch of its "Scout" AI shopping agent before Christmas.
The problem is comparable-store sales declined 1.6% in Q4 and 1.5% for the full year, suggesting new store openings — not organic demand — continue to do much of the heavy lifting. Transactions fell 6.4% in the quarter while the average ticket rose 5.1%, meaning fewer customers are coming into stores even as those who do spend more.
Management's FY2026 guidance — comparable sales of -1% to +2% — signals continued caution about the consumer environment. CFO Carl Ford was notably candid on the earnings call, flagging credit-card delinquencies running at roughly double 2024 levels and calling out soft job growth and elevated gas prices as meaningful headwinds. Lower-income consumers in particular are showing high single-digit traffic declines.
Inventory is another consideration. Merchandise inventories stood at $1.5 billion at quarter-end, up 15% year-over-year, partly reflecting strategic forward-buying to get ahead of potential tariff changes. While management framed this as prudent planning, elevated inventory into a soft-demand backdrop could force promotional activity to clear product.
On the positive side, the company carries manageable long-term debt of about $481 million, generated $263 million in adjusted free cash flow, and returned $234 million to shareholders in 2025 through buybacks and dividends — including a 15% dividend increase announced today. Those are indicators of financial discipline that longer-term investors tend to reward.
A Recovery May Be in Store, But Be Careful
ASO stock gapped down after the earnings report with little intraday bounce. That's not surprising on a day when traders chased other bullish opportunities. The selloff has erased almost all of the stock's year-to-date gains in 2026 and left it near a "line in the sand" support level around $50.
If it fails to hold that level, watch these downside supports:
- About $47–$48, where the stock consolidated in late 2025 before a bullish move.
- Approximately $43–$44, near the October/November 2025 swing lows and the most meaningful structural support on the chart.
- Near $40, which would mark the 2025 multi-month base prior to the rally.
There are reasons to expect a bounce. The relative strength index (RSI) sits around 28 — a historically significant oversold reading. When the RSI approached this level in October/November 2025, it preceded a strong recovery.
Adding to the bull case, large-volume gap-downs can signal capitulation, after which bullish traders sometimes push for a "gap fill" in the following days because many sellers may have already exited the market.
That said, technicals illustrate possibilities, not certainties. The stock sits at a critical support level that deserves respect. Some analysts and institutions view ASO as a potential buying opportunity, but in the short term investors should be cautious of a falling knife and manage risk accordingly.
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