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Chevron Hits New Highs Due to Oil's Rally, But Is It Sustainable?
Submitted by Sam Quirke. Posted: 3/12/2026.
Key Points
- Chevron shares have surged to fresh all-time highs as rising oil prices fuel renewed investor interest in energy stocks.
- The rally has been driven largely by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and fears of supply disruptions in key shipping routes such as the Strait of Hormuz.
- However, weakening technical momentum and fresh government intervention to contain oil prices raise questions about whether the surge can continue.
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Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) has become one of the best-performing mega-cap stocks in recent weeks. Shares hit a fresh all-time high in mid-March, extending a rally that has lifted the stock nearly 30% in 2026 and returned it to the spotlight for many investors.
Much of the surge stems from rising oil prices. Escalating tensions in the Middle East—particularly disruptions to tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz—have raised concerns that global crude supplies could tighten if the conflict intensifies.
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Watch the live demo and get the ticker nowAs the oil rally gained momentum, energy stocks displaced AI as one of the market's top talking points for investors. After the biggest run in years, though, the key question is whether Chevron's rally still has room to run. Let's take a closer look.
Oil Prices Have Been the Driving Force
The main catalyst behind Chevron's advance has been the recent jump in global oil prices driven by geopolitical concerns. The Strait of Hormuz, one of the world's most strategic chokepoints, has become a focal point for markets.
A significant portion of global seaborne oil exports flows through that narrow waterway, so any disruption tends to trigger sharp moves in energy prices.
As tensions escalated, investors shifted toward companies that directly benefit from higher crude prices. Integrated oil majors such as Chevron typically gain in those environments because stronger crude prices translate into improved upstream profits, which helps explain the stock's nearly 30% gain so far this year.
Governments Are Trying to Contain the Surge
Rapid rises in oil prices often feed into inflation, prompting governments to act to prevent energy costs from spiraling. One common response is releasing crude from strategic petroleum reserves to stabilize markets.
This is especially relevant to Chevron. Reports this week indicate that all 32 members of the International Energy Agency agreed to release hundreds of millions of barrels from their reserves to ease pressure on global oil markets.
If those releases succeed in cooling the market, or if tensions in the Middle East begin to ease, crude could retrace some recent gains. If that happens, the rally that lifted energy stocks like Chevron could lose momentum and the stock could give back some of its gains.
Technical Signals Suggest Momentum May Be Slowing
Compounding that risk is Chevron's technical setup, which is showing early signs the rally may be nearing a peak. Although the stock hit record highs this week, several momentum indicators suggest bullish pressure is waning.
For example, the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) recently produced a bearish crossover and has trended downward over the past two weeks. The MACD measures the relationship between short- and long-term price trends, and a negative turn often signals fading upward momentum.
Chevron's relative strength index (RSI) has also drifted lower during the same period. The RSI gauges the speed and magnitude of price moves, and a decline after a strong rally can indicate buyers are becoming less aggressive.
When these signals appear together they tend to be more meaningful than when they show up in isolation. While both indicators are often considered lagging, they can still provide an early warning that the balance between buyers and sellers may be shifting.
Analysts Still See Additional Upside
Despite these warning signs, many Wall Street analysts remain constructive on Chevron. Citigroup recently reiterated a Buy rating and set a fresh price target of $210. UBS made a similar move, keeping a Buy rating and a $212 target, implying roughly another 10% of upside. While not explosive, those targets suggest analysts believe the stock can continue higher if the energy backdrop holds.
Part of that optimism reflects Chevron's financial strength. The company generates substantial cash flow when oil prices are elevated, allowing it to maintain a generous dividend while still investing in future production.
The Next Move Will Depend on Oil Prices
As long as oil prices remain elevated, Chevron is well positioned to benefit and its stock could see further gains. But rallies driven by geopolitical shocks can be fragile once the underlying catalyst fades.
If tensions ease or governments take further steps to stabilize prices, investors may begin taking profits. Until then, expect Chevron's share price to remain closely tied to the direction of oil — and to find support near its newly established highs if the energy rally persists.
Advanced Micro Devices Looks Like a Hot Buy Heading Into Earnings
Submitted by Thomas Hughes. Posted: 3/24/2026.
Key Points
- Advanced Micro Devices is establishing a support base ahead of what is likely to be a blowout report.
- Advances in its rack-scale offering underpin an outlook for accelerated growth that likely underestimates the company's strength.
- Analysts and institutions are accumulating this stock while it's down, limiting risk in late March and early April.
- Special Report: Elon Musk already made me a "wealthy man"
With Q1 2026 earnings around the corner, Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) is back in focus—and the setup suggests the stock may be closer to a rebound than a breakdown. While it sits roughly 30% below its peaks and has struggled to gain traction ahead of the report, signals from the charts, the outlook, analyst sentiment trends, institutional buying, and potential for outperformance point to a robust recovery this year.
AMD Market Waits for MI450 Catalyst
The story has been consistent for the past year: Advanced Micro Devices is preparing to launch rack-scale AI datacenter solutions and emerge as a direct competitor to NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA). NVIDIA will likely retain a first-mover advantage, but there is room for AMD to flourish.
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Hyperscalers in need of inference capacity may gravitate to these products. A looming issue for the AI industry is that datacenter GPUs run at high power and near-maximum output for extended periods, which stresses hardware and accelerates wear.
Some estimates put the AI upgrade cycle at just 18 months, suggesting the earliest AI datacenters are already approaching the end of their useful lives. If upgrade cycles remain short, AI GPU demand should stay strong, and AMD's devices—operating at lower power, with potentially longer lifespans and lower operating costs—could become a favored choice. In that case, Advanced Micro Devices could not only regain lost market share but also capture new share as the industry matures.
MI450s are expected to launch in the back half of the year, potentially driving triple-digit revenue acceleration within the first or second quarter after availability. Current analyst forecasts are conservative, projecting only 40% and 50% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 and Q4, respectively, with only marginal acceleration the following year.
Even at those cautious rates, valuation metrics imply the stock trades at roughly 8x 2030 forecasts, suggesting scope for a minimum 200% upside. A 200% move would align AMD with broad market upside on a current-year-earnings basis; if the market restores a premium, upside could extend into the 300%–400% range over the next few years. For context, NVIDIA's stock rose more than 500% after breaking comparable resistance levels, indicating similar potential for AMD if its catalysts play out.
Technical Trends Underpinned by Analysts and Institutional Activity
AMD's share price moved above a key target late in 2025 and has been establishing a support base at that level in early 2026. The weekly chart shows support just above $186, with price action nearly closing the gap formed in October. There is risk that support could fail, but analyst sentiment trends and institutional buying point the other way. Institutions own more than 70% of the stock, have been buying on balance over the trailing 12 months, have bought for three consecutive quarters, and ramped activity in early Q1.
Analyst coverage has grown and sentiment is firming. MarketBeat data shows 40 current ratings, with the consensus at a Moderate Buy edging toward Strong Buy. The average upside sits above 40%, and the high-end targets add roughly another 30%. If AMD continues to build momentum, analyst sentiment and targets could move higher.
Catalysts include the Helios launch and partnerships such as the one with Celestica (NYSE: CLS). Celestica is designing and manufacturing scale-up switches to enable large-scale clustering of AMD products, which helps clear the path for MI450 deployments at scale—a key to unlocking stronger revenue and earnings.
Risks remain: geopolitical tensions, intense competition, and supply-chain bottlenecks. High-bandwidth memory (HBM), a critical component, is essentially sold out through the next year and could constrain AMD's near-term revenue growth. AMD is working to mitigate those limits, including expanded collaboration with Samsung (OTCMKTS: SSNLF).
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