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The Fed has a new Chairman, and gold is selling off...
Why?
Because Kevin Warsh hinted he might raise rates.
He didn’t raise them...
He hinted he might by saying “we will not hesitate to act” – and the whole market flinched.
So, what should you do?
The Fed’s rate scare is not a warning…
It’s a buy signal. Why?
Here’s the question nobody will ask on CNBC...
How will the Fed raise rates when it has to roll $9.6 trillion in debt this year?
Higher rates mean higher interest payments on an already crushing pile of debt.
The Fed isn't in a tight spot… It's trapped – with no way out.
Warsh can talk tough all day. But he can't pull the trigger.
Even if he eventually raises rates… What happens then?
Every .25% rate hike costs the US government another $95 billion in interest.
He might raise rates temporarily, but he can’t keep them there… and he knows it.
My prediction is that President Trump will get his lower rates, no matter what Fed Chair Warsh is hinting at…
So here's your choice:
Hold your cash and wait for permission from a Fed Chair whose entire job is to bluff the markets into thinking he’s in control...
Or do the boring thing that makes people rich:
Sit tight, don’t panic sell and add to your positions on down days.
I’ve been right – and early – on nearly every move gold has made in this bull market.
It’s why my top four picks are up more than 1,200% in the last two years.
To learn about the top three buyout targets for the next phase of this gold bull market, go here
Garrett Goggin, CFA, CMT
Lead Analyst and Founder, Golden Portfolio
Insiders Sell, Institutions Buy: The AI Trade Is Getting More Interesting
Submitted by Thomas Hughes. Article Published: 7/29/2026.
Key Points
- Despite insider selling amid summer 2026 tech volatility, institutional investors are aggressively accumulating shares of NVIDIA, Oracle, and Credo Technology, signaling underlying bullish sentiment.
- NVIDIA and Oracle both carry consensus Buy ratings with more than 100% upside potential at high-end price targets, driven by demand outpacing capacity and long-term revenue visibility.
- Credo Technology benefits from AI infrastructure demand for its cables and future optics products, with analysts projecting at least 35% upside amid hyperscaler partnerships.
- Special Report: Forget SpaceX. Buy the company Musk can't replace.
Summer 2026 has been marked by volatility and downward pressure in tech stocks linked to spending concerns and macroeconomic turmoil. In many cases, volatility has been amplified by insider selling, raising the question of whether retail investors should exit as well.
The caveat is that insiders have reasons to exit these markets that retail investors typically do not, including share-based compensation and the need to monetize their efforts. Other factors, including institutional activity, reflect a more bullish posture and are the signals investors should follow. They point to double- and triple-digit upside that could be unleashed by second-quarter and subsequent earnings reports.
NVIDIA, the Source of AI as We Know It, Invests in the Future
Small Colorado Company (Backed by Sam Altman) Could Save U.S. Power Grid (Ad)
A small Colorado company has secured rights to technology that could prevent the U.S. public power grid from collapsing — and billionaire Sam Altman is now an investor.
This under-the-radar firm is drawing serious attention from those watching the energy infrastructure space closely.
Click here to learn this company's name for free todayNVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is the single most important stock for AI because it provides the GPUs and software stack needed to unlock their power. Its insiders, including CEO Jensen Huang, have sold periodically for several quarters, yet the stock price has continued to rise. Demand continues to outpace capacity, quarterly results continue to exceed consensus estimates, and guidance indicates that momentum is still building. Together, these factors point to a robust growth cycle that analysts have persistently underestimated.
Assuming analysts' earnings forecasts as of late July are correct, the stock trades at a fraction of its mid- and long-term forecast value, suggesting that its price could rise by triple digits in the coming years. All it will take is time, which institutional investors have in abundance. They own more than 65% of the stock and have been aggressively accumulating shares at a 3-to-1 pace in 2026, sustaining their bullish behavior into early Q3 as NVIDIA invests in future growth.
Meanwhile, 53 analysts rate NVIDIA as a consensus Buy, with a 96% Buy-side bias and an uptrend in the price target. Consensus forecasts call for 50% upside, while the high-end target suggests that more than 100% upside is possible.
Oracle, the Most Misunderstood AI Stock on the Market
Oracle’s (NASDAQ: ORCL) insider selling played a role in the stock's correction, but the pullback is overblown and disconnected from reality. The market is pricing Oracle like a startup facing cash-flow and cash-burn risks, while it is nothing of the sort. Its significant increase in debt is driven by demand and contracts that promise long-term, highly visible revenue slated for recognition beginning in 2027.
In this scenario, Oracle’s debt could evaporate quickly, leading to robust free cash flow and greater capacity for capital returns. Until then, the company’s position as a hyperscaler serving hyperscalers is secure. It provides critical data and infrastructure services, while its enterprise-services business is also booming.
Institutional activity reveals that investors are aware of this disconnect. Institutions own only 40% of the stock, a figure that appears low until accounting for the 40% insider ownership, most of which is held by chairman and founder Larry Ellison. However, institutions have been aggressively accumulating shares. InsiderTrades data reveals a bullish balance for the year, accelerating to an approximate 4-to-1 pace in early Q3 as the share price hit fresh lows. Thirty-nine analysts rate ORCL as a consensus Moderate Buy, with potential for more than 100% upside at the consensus price target.
Credo Technology Group Unblocks Data Bottlenecks
Credo Technology (NASDAQ: CRDO) is critical to AI for several reasons, including its current and future revenue streams. Current revenue comes from demand for its active electrical cables, which are useful for connecting servers and clusters. Future revenue is expected to come from optics, optical components and photonics. Its institutional activity reflects an influx of capital, profit-taking in line with recent stock-price highs and a resumption of accumulation following the correction. The takeaway is that this market continues to grow, and analyst trends suggest that upside potential remains robust.
Credo Technology's analyst trends include increasing coverage, a solid Moderate Buy consensus among 19 analysts and an uptrend in price targets, suggesting that at least 35% upside is possible. Catalysts for the move include upcoming earnings releases, with Credo expected to post accelerating growth. Risks include disruption, but those risks are mitigated by partnerships and contracts with hyperscalers such as Amazon’s AWS and Microsoft, which need Credo’s technology to connect their GPU clusters.
Credo’s price action reflects a strong and strengthening market, with volume rising alongside prices and the MACD converging with recent highs. These signals reveal intrinsic strength and a high likelihood that prices will retest existing highs, if not move on to set fresh ones. Institutions are at the core of this strength, owning more than 80% of the shares and accumulating at an approximate 4-to-1 pace over the trailing 12 months.
Caterpillar’s Record Quarter May Have Reset the Stock’s Ceiling
Submitted by Thomas Hughes. Article Published: 8/5/2026.
Key Points
- Caterpillar’s record Q2 results were supported by strength across construction, resources, and power and energy.
- Caterpillar’s AI data center exposure could continue to support revenue, backlog and analyst sentiment.
- Caterpillar’s capital returns and institutional support may help limit downside risk, though tariffs and project delays remain risks.
- Special Report: Forget SpaceX. Buy the company Musk can't replace.
Numerous factors underpin Caterpillar's (NYSE: CAT) stock price uptrend and its potential to reach $1,200, including analyst sentiment trends. As of early August, consensus suggests the stock is fairly valued, but the trend is what matters.
These trends could strengthen in Q3 following Q2 outperformance, providing a robust tailwind as coverage expands, sentiment firms and price targets rise. Together, these factors could push the high end of the valuation range above $1,200.
Small Colorado Company (Backed by Sam Altman) Could Save U.S. Power Grid (Ad)
A small Colorado company has secured rights to technology that could prevent the U.S. public power grid from collapsing — and billionaire Sam Altman is now an investor.
This under-the-radar firm is drawing serious attention from those watching the energy infrastructure space closely.
Click here to learn this company's name for free todayIn this scenario, Caterpillar's robust guidance increase represents a cautious estimate, suggesting potential outperformance in Q3 and the possible continuation of bullish analyst and price trends.
Caterpillar Is AI-Critical, and Its Other Businesses Are Also Performing Well
Caterpillar had a robust Q2, growing revenue to a record $20.5 billion on strength across all primary categories and operating regions. The growth was underpinned by demand for AI data centers, as massive construction projects require heavy equipment. More importantly, the top line outpaced MarketBeat's consensus by more than 650 basis points (bps), while order and backlog growth pointed to strength in the current and upcoming quarters. By segment, Construction Industries sales rose 35%, Resource Industries sales rose 20% and Power & Energy sales rose 17%.
Margin news is another positive factor in the stock's outlook. Caterpillar widened its margins at all levels through revenue leverage and improved operational quality, driving a nearly 400-bps improvement in operating profit margin and accelerating earnings growth. Critical details include $4.4 billion in operating cash flow and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $8.17, nearly 75% above last year, $2 above the consensus forecast and more than sufficient to fund capital returns while supporting investment in growth.
Guidance is also a catalyst for the market and perhaps the most important one, as it affirms the broad-based data center buildout and the capital spending required to complete it. For Caterpillar, the meaningful improvement in guidance underscores the market's mispricing of AI capital spending this year. Guidance was raised from the low double digits to the mid-to-high teens, representing a 500- to 700-basis-point improvement at the midpoint of the range, and it may still prove cautious. With strength across segments and regions and data center construction ongoing—potentially accelerating with the launch of Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD)' MI450 and Helios racks—Caterpillar is well-positioned for growth.
Capital Returns and Institutional Investors Limit Risk in 2026
Capital returns and the institutional support they attract underpin Caterpillar's uptrend and stock price while limiting risk for investors. The dividend is little more than a token, at approximately a 0.7% yield as of early August. It remains safe and reliable; the company expects to increase the distribution annually, while buybacks drive its growth. Buyback activity more than doubled the dividend's value in Q2, contributing to a 1.9% trailing 12-month (TTM) share count reduction in the first half. The company expects this trend to continue in the coming quarters. Investors have an opportunity to enter the market while prices remain below their early 2026 peaks and ahead of increased buyback activity.
Institutional support is solid. Institutions own more than 70% of the stock and have been aggressively accumulating shares, with a TTM buying-to-selling run rate of nearly $2 to $1. They accelerated their activity in late Q2 2026 and early Q3, ahead of the earnings report, and are likely continuing to buy in its wake. Chart action reflects buying following the report, signaling support at a critical technical level and the potential for the rally to continue. In this scenario, CAT's stock price presents a 10% near-term opportunity, expanding to roughly 30% upon reaching new highs.
Caterpillar's biggest risks are tariff- and regulatory-related. The company anticipates that tariffs will exceed $2.2 billion this year, potentially reducing profits if price pass-through and efficiency gains do not offset the impact. The more pressing problem, however, is the effect on construction timelines. Environmental, energy and local hurdles are delaying project timelines across the hyperscale universe, and Caterpillar's stock price could suffer if they result in longer build times.
This year's catalyst is the backlog. AI, data center and general construction demand have pushed the backlog to record levels above $72 billion. All the company needs to do is deliver the products to drive growth, and it is working to expand capacity to meet demand. The market's mistake is viewing the early 2026 peak as a cyclical top rather than a stepping stone to higher price points. Structural tailwinds, including the U.S. Infrastructure Act, a global rare-earth mining rush and the AI revolution, point to a multiyear cycle for Caterpillar and other industrial names.
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