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Patience Pays: The Aflac Story

Anatomy of a Great Trade
 
   
     
   
 
FEB 9, 2024
   
SCOTT WELSH’S ANATOMY OF A GREAT TRADE
Anatomy of a Great Trade: AFL
 

There are a few different ways to catch really nice Deep Value trades.

One is to look for companies that are suddenly and dramatically pushed down to extreme levels.

This type of emotional overreaction can lead to some snap-back big winners.

The problem with those is that you have to be on the news pretty often, otherwise you’ll miss the quick rebound.

The other problem is that you’ll most likely be dealing with companies you’ve never heard of.

And that can be scary, especially if the stock initially goes against us.

What is this company anyway?
Is it going to zero?

Another way to trade Deep Value is to take a big name that you’ve heard of…and wait.

It’s the way Warren Buffett does it.

And this happened a few years ago on Aflac (AFL).

Everyone knows Aflac and we know it does insurance. 

But, in 2020, this boring company was punished as everything else was being punished.

And once it got below its lower Bollinger Band™, it could've been a low-anxiety buy around $29 on 3/24/20.

Then all we had to do was wait. 

Did it work? 

You can see the result.
 
 

On 11/24/20, it hit “fair value” at $46. 

That’s a 58% win on a stock that is going to be around for a long time.

Which is a pretty easy way to catch big winners.

Happy trading,

Scott
 
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PROSPERITY PUB RETRO REWIND
Did You Collect Your Second $500?
 
 
Ten days ago — January 31st.

In some ways it seems like so long ago — but it’s less than 2 weeks.

That day, Nate Tucci’s new monthly show launched with the theme of the first show being “Steal Our Top $500 Trade Idea!”

And the panelists sure did deliver!

Just 2 days after the show aired, Jack Carter’s $500 trade idea closed a winner.

$500 in two days — not bad!

But there’s still 3 more open trades… or at least there were.

Because Graham Lindman’s FTNT trade just closed out a winner this past week.

If you remember, his discovery on Fortinet — that it tends to rise when reporting earnings in February — led to him recommending a $65 Call option.

As soon as Fortinet reported earnings, the stock zoomed up as high as $78.

That’s another $500 or more… this one coming less than a week after the show aired!

Congrats if you got in on this trade.

But if you didn’t… Don’t forget, there are still two others.

It may be too late to get into Nate Tucci’s DKNG trade.

But Roger’s might actually be at an even better entry point than when he announced it.

Take a look here for details.

— The Prosperity Pub Team

P.S. And don’t forget to join each panelist’s Telegram channel for bonus content, trades, tutorials and more!
• Nate’s Telegram channel
• Jack’s Telegram channel
• Graham’s Telegram channel
• Roger’s Telegram channel
   
 
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