You bought calls at support. Perfect setup. Then watched it grind sideways for 3 hours before dumping through your stop. Again. Here's why...
| | | You bought calls at support. Perfect setup. Textbook entry. Then watched the market grind sideways for 3 hours before dumping through your stop. Again. | Want to know why that keeps happening? | You're not trading against some kid in his basement. You're up against market making firms processing millions of trades daily, making fractions of a penny on each one while you're swinging for home runs. See the problem? | While you're drawing trendlines, here's what's ACTUALLY moving the market: | The SPX moved 2.3 million contracts yesterday. Each one feeding into expected move calculations. | That's not noise - that's billions of dollars drawing mathematical boundaries around price action. | Most retail traders are drawing support and resistance, completely blind to the actual edges being created by institutional flow. | Market makers aren't trying to screw you. They don't care if you win or lose. | They make fractions of pennies on massive volume all day long. But here's the thing: they're operating with information you don't have. Expected moves. Dealer gamma. Real-time positioning. That's not them being evil - that's just asymmetric information. And if you don't understand what they're seeing, you're trading blind. | The mechanism that moves markets: | When you buy calls, market makers sell them to you, then immediately buy stock to hedge. | Market moves up? They buy more stock. You buy more calls? | They buy more stock. This isn't news-driven price action - this is mathematical hedging creating momentum that pulls markets toward expected move edges. | Your actionable battlefield intelligence: | Every day at 4:15 PM Eastern, SPX options settle. | That's when you capture the real expected move for the next day - not some calculated guess, but the actual mathematical boundary based on billions in positioning. | When markets approach those expected move boundaries, they don't just test them. | | | | Here's why: Market makers who sold puts near the lower edge are heavily hedged short. They need to buy to rebalance. That creates statistical buying pressure the next day. Not guaranteed, but mathematically favorable. That's dealer gamma creating edge you can trade. | Most retail traders miss this completely. They're analyzing charts while institutions are managing risk models. Different games, different information, different outcomes. | This is exactly what we covered in the first Don-DTE mastermind session. Hour and 45 minutes breaking down expected move, dealer gamma, and how to position around institutional flow. | If you missed it, you can still catch up this weekend and join me live for the next session. | We're building a group of traders who understand what's ACTUALLY moving markets. Not hopium. Not trendlines. Mathematical edges you can trade. | Click here to join Don-DTE | To your success, | Don Kaufman | | | |
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